Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Our forecast for bonds last September has held up very well, as did the forecast before that one. Here, we revisit treasuries via the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). We expect...

Worries of a looming recession intensified late Thursday last week after the yield on the United States 2-Year Treasury bonds hit 2.337% as the yield on United States 10-Year bonds fell to 2.331%,...

Treasury bonds have left a bad taste in investors’ mouths for the past couple of years. And this collective "UGH!" comes after years of solid returns.Will the bull market continue? Or is this...

The yield curve inversion—when yield on the 2-year Treasury note exceeds that on the 10-year note—is normally considered a sign that recession is coming. But this time, analysts say, it...

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday, Mar....

The yield curve plots the current yield of a range of government notes and bonds in the “primary market.” The worldwide bond market – including private and government debt —...

The yield curve on US Treasuries is flattening, and on Monday, yield on the 5-year was higher at one point, 2.64%, than on the 30-year bond at 2.57%.This inversion is not the most watched for signs of...

Treasury yields have been on the rise for three consecutive weeks, with the 10-year Treasury yield finishing Refinitiv Lipper’s fund-flows week ended Mar. 23, 2022, at 2.32% after hitting an...

The surge in bond yields suggests that we are nearing the ideal entry point to buy longer-duration bonds for capital appreciation and portfolio protection.Such isn’t the first time we have made...

This article was originally published at The Humble DollarAs interest rates head higher, where should bond investors turn? A lot of ink has been devoted to Series I savings bonds—for good...

Two years to the day (minus one day) of the market bottom and strange things happen: Tech stocks outperforming, while 10-year yields retested their 3-year highs, which did not stop gold from advancing...

The easy answer is almost certainly “yes.” The more challenging question: Does a recession call rise to the level of a high-confidence forecast? No, not yet. For now, and probably for the...

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell proved to be a more forceful motivator for investors in US Treasuries than Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.Powell said on Monday that the Fed could more...

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday, Mar....