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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Chris Kimble
Treasury Bonds Poised for a Big Move By Chris Kimble - May 08, 2023 1

As the Federal Reserve continues to fight inflation by raising interest rates, the market is growing uncertain about future rate hikes.Today, we share a chart comparing the 10 Year Treasury...

James Picerno
10-Year Treasury Rate Set to Fall as Inflation Eases By James Picerno - Apr 14, 2023 5

The 10-year Treasury rate continues to trade well above CapitalSpectator.com’s fair-value estimate, but the days of a large premium look numbered. As evidence mounts that inflation continues to...

James Picerno
Why the Bond Market Is Becoming More Volatile By James Picerno - Apr 12, 2023

Last month we looked at how stock market volatility ebbs and flowsHow Monitoring Volatility Regimes Helps Anticipate Key Market Pivots through time. Let’s pick up this thread and do the same for...

Michele Schneider
Junk Bonds: Best Equity Predictor By Michele Schneider - Apr 12, 2023 3

Junk bonds are high-risk, high-yield bonds issued by companies with lower credit ratings. These bonds are also known as speculative-grade bonds or high-yield bonds because they offer a higher rate of...

James Picerno
Corporate Bonds Ex-US Led Market Gainers Last Week By James Picerno - Apr 10, 2023

Bonds issued by companies outside the US rose for a fifth straight week, securing the strongest performance for the major asset classes, based on a set of ETFs in last week’s trading.Invesco...

Michael Lebowitz
Bills, Notes or Bonds: Which Is the Safer Bet? By Michael Lebowitz - Apr 05, 2023 6

Two hundred and sixty Fed meetings will occur between the issuing and maturing of a United States 30-Year Treasury bond. There will be 260 times when the Fed raises, lowers, or does nothing with Fed...

James Picerno
U.S. Bond Rally Signals Pause in Rate Hikes By James Picerno - Mar 24, 2023

Turmoil in the bank industry and renewed concerns of economic headwinds are driving expectations that Federal Reserve's interest-rate hiking is at or near an end. In turn, the outlook has sparked a...

Michele Schneider
Long Bonds and Gold Rally Amidst Market Chaos By Michele Schneider - Mar 13, 2023

On March 7, we asked Will the Market Internals Turn More Bearish? While we focused mainly on Jerome Powell’s testimony, where he said,  "If the totality of the data were to indicate that...

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