Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Up, down, up, down—US Treasury yields are bouncing around as investors try to balance worries about inflation with concern about a global economic slowdown, or even a recession.Good news, bad...

Fixed income showed some of its traditional diversification edge last week as selling took a toll elsewhere for the major asset classes, based on a set of ETFs through Friday’s close (May...

For the first time in 11 months, the US Treasury 10-year yield is above CapitalSpectator.com’s fair-value model estimate of the benchmark rate.That doesn’t ensure that the 10-year yield...

Bond investors are confused—and no wonder. Central bank officials keep telling them to ignore the evidence in front of their eyes. They are supposed to believe that inflation, which has been...

Surging yields on US Treasuries crossed the 3% threshold amid a price rout on the government bonds (yields rise as prices fall) in Monday trading ahead of this week’s meeting of the Federal Open...

Treasury Yields and the Long-Term Rate of Inflation: A lot of people have gotten excited about the surge in annual inflation rates, but in my view it’s arguably more interesting to look at the...

Picking interest-rate bottoms and tops is far more complicated than trying to pick stock market bottoms and tops, but this graph will give us some yield levels, focusing on the last decade or since...

Bond yields are rising at a historic pace putting the 40-year bull market in bonds into question. What should conservative investors be doing given their bonds are no longer providing them the...

Does a risk-free bond with a seven percent yield interest you? If so, read more about the red-headed stepchild of the bond world that is finally attracting investors.Series I Bonds (I-bonds) are bonds...

On April 14, as 10-year yield spiked to a new multi-year high at 2.84%, I cautioned MPTrader members about possible near-term upside exhaustion. Daily momentum remained well below the previous day's...

Anyone who has their head screwed on straight is now likely really afraid of inflation. And soaring Treasury yields clearly reflect that fear. The US consumer price index for March rose 8.5% on the...

This post was first published at TopDown Charts Global bond yields breakout to fresh 7-year highs as market participants expect upwards of 250bps of Fed rate hikes in 2022 US fixed income fund flows...

Over the past two years, we have seen inflation soar. And with that has coming rising interest rates. This week’s CPI and PPI data have only confirmed consumers' fears. But how much of the...

It’s been a crazy last couple of years. And that is probably an understatement.2022 is off to a similar start with supply disruptions, surging inflation, and war overseas. Needless to say,...