ING Economic and Financial Analysis

There’s plenty of short-term negativity in the Bank of England’s latest predictions, but there is still the subtlest of hints that they’d still like to tighten policy further if they...

German industrial orders took another nosedive, indicating that any rebound in industrial activity will be slow and sluggishNew industrial orders dropped by 1.6% month-on-month in December, from 0.2%...

It's back to the Brexit drawing board for Theresa May next week as she heads to Europe for more talks. But with the EU standing firm, is there any chance for a deal that parliament can agree on?...

This was not surprising, on the back of available evidence. As chances of a swift exit from recession in 1Q19 now look slim, we revise our forecast for average 2019 Italian GDP growth to 0.2%Domestic...

GDP growth of just 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in the final quarter of 2018 confirms the slow-growth environment that the eurozone has slipped into and there does not seem to be an easy way out as...

Rain or shine, the labor market remains a stronghold of the German economy, putting a clear floor under any recession fearsGerman unemployment increased by 196,000 in January (not seasonally...

German headline inflation slows to the lowest level since February 2018 on the back of lower energy prices, and a further softening is in the offing. With consumer confidence close to all-time-highs,...

The economic sentiment indicator of the European Commission fell further in January. While forward-looking indicators don’t point to much improvement in Q1, consumers are offering a glimmer of...

Inflation is well below the Reserve Bank of Australia's 2-3% target range mid-point, and heading in the wrong direction. Rate cuts still seem highly improbable, but by the same token, hikes are way...

The US has imposed sanctions on Venezuelan state-owned oil company PDVSA, effectively bringing US purchases of Venezuelan oil to an end. The announcement has had little impact on price, with...

Growth in adjusted lending to the private sector increased from 3.3% to 3.4% in December, despite concerns about growth. The outlook is weakening somewhat as banks are expecting demand growth for...

The jam-packed week ahead for developed markets, but with no end in sight for the US government shutdown and a Federal Reserve likely to hit the brakes, our main focus turns towards Eurozone data -...

The German Ifo takes another nosedive, boding ill for any quick rebound of the German economyGermany's most prominent leading indicator, the Ifo index, plunged in January, adding to the latest growth...

Jam-packed week ahead for developed markets, but with no end in sight for the US government shutdown and a Federal Reserve likely to hit the brakes, our main focus turns towards Eurozone data -...

Amidst the government shutdown, third-party housing numbers are one of the few data sets we are still receiving. Existing home sales offer further warning signals, but elsewhere, we may be seeing...

Thursday’s ECB meeting will probably be low on action but high on controversial debates and challenging questions.With only a few signs of a bottoming out of the recent loss of momentum,...