ING Economic and Financial Analysis

Disappointing November production data gives rise to fears of a technical recessionIndustrial production fell by 1.9% month-on-month in November, the sharpest drop since the summer of 2015. To make...

While the Bank of England will welcome another great month for UK wage growth, concerns surrounding Brexit will dominate the economic outlook over the winter. The chances of a second-quarter rate hike...

A small rebound in exports illustrates that not all is doom and gloom in the German economy. However, the rebound is too small for us to become overly optimistic right now.The traditional German...

Another week in developed markets that will be dominated by Brexit as PM May's deal is voted on in parliament on Tuesday. The ECB meets next Thursday too - a historical meeting at that, given we'll be...

China has surprised us all with higher foreign reserves in November. The bond and stock market inflows have probably more than offset the use of reserves for the yuan interventions.Chinese foreign...

November trade data shows that Taiwan depends heavily on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and when they cancelled orders in November, exports shrunk 3.4% in November after growing 7.3% in October. And we expect...

A new star was not born. Instead, another disappointing drop in German industrial production shows that industry is not so far from the shallows any more.Industrial production dropped by 0.5% MoM in...

…and we will be fine as the European Central Bank is gradually shelving the controversial bond-buying programmeThe ECB meeting next week will not only be the last meeting of the year but will...

Another red-eye meeting of Eurozone finance ministers shows how difficult it is to agree on further Eurozone reforms. Only another existential crisis would speed up the reform efforts - something even...

The US continues to perform strongly and wages are finally gathering pace. But protectionism and a weakening global outlook are significant risks for 2019 and the cumulative effects of Federal Reserve...

The Chinese economy is set to slow down in 2019. The most likely scenario is an escalation of the US-China trade conflict, hurting exporters, manufacturing and logistics services. Pressure from trade...

The Turkish regulator has released performance data for the Turkish banking sector to end-October. It paints a picture in line with trends visible in banks’ third-quarter results, showing that...

Next week in developed markets US domestic data should reiterate the fact the economy is still going strong despite some uncertainties. We'll also look at German industrial data to see whether...

Early signs suggest that 2019 will see lower global growth. Markets have recently been unsettled by US monetary tightening, trade protectionism, unseasonal weather and emerging market troubles. But...

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China's industrial profit growth slowed in October, with just 13 out of 41 sectors (including the consumer goods group) posting improved profits on a monthly basis. But businesses could enjoy better...