Market Overview

There is a very high correlation between small/mid-cap stocks’ annual rate of change and the NFIB small business confidence index. Business owners tend to lean conservatively, favoring policies that...

After years of struggle, Verizon’s (NYSE: VZ) turnaround is gaining traction and driving shareholder value. Its push to build the most substantial 5G network in North America is paying off with...

DeepSeek has overtaken ChatGPT as the highest-rated free application on the Apple App Store. U.S. stock traders took a decidedly risk-off turn early Monday morning, sending the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) down...

One of the problems with artificial intelligence is that it is going to take an incredible amount of energy to make it work. I’ve often thought if artificial intelligence had the ability to figure...

Q4 S&P 500 EPS growth is expected to come in at 12.7%, the highest growth rate in three years. Large-cap outlier earnings dates this week include: LUV, KMB, PPG (WA:IBSP), CI, CB, and...

Investors this week will be keenly watching how or if the Federal Reserve and the bond market cooperate with Donald Trump’s order for lower interest rates. Although the central bank is unlikely to...

Markets trade at the mercy of Trump’s tariff rhetoric Fed to pause due to Trump uncertainty and strong US economy Investors may lock gaze on forward guidance Thursday’s GDP and Friday’s PCE data in...

Trump’s tariff strategy paying off. Dollar rallies but equity indices take a tumble. The busy calendar this week as China celebrates New Year. Gold, oil and cryptos experience losses. Trump’s...

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment data for January was revised lower this morning, from 73.2 to 71.1. Well below the historical average of 84.7 (orange line), now for the 43rd straight...

This week, we have the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, followed by the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made waves last Friday by raising its...

We regularly assess the subjective probabilities that we assign to our three scenarios: the Roaring 2020s (55%), the Meltup 1990s (25%), and the Stagflationary 1970s (20%). The last scenario, with...

Gold Continues Moving Upwards The gold (XAU/USD) price rose by 0.64% on Friday as the US dollar (USD) weakened after US President Donald Trump called for lower interest rates, while the uncertainty...

The pause in financial conditions tightening helped stocks rally. Semiconductors’ market cap weighting reached an all-time high. Mag7 corporate bond yields are almost on par with...

It’s been a volatile start to the year, with an abundance of expectations placed on what the new administration would do in its first weeks, days, and even hours of power. We’re off! This year, our...