Market Overview

Markets are in a relatively good mood Trump’s second presidency will commence today Dollar takes losses, while the crypto market is thriving Yen tries to benefit from BoJ expectations; oil...

Q4 earnings season officially kicked off this week with 21 S&P 500 companies (mostly financials) reporting earnings. 14 companies beat estimates, 6 missed, and 1 tied. The average “surprise...

January 20th 2025 will be the beginning of 4 more years of Donald J. Trump being President. Everyone on the right of politics believes these will be 4 glorious years. Everyone on the left it seems...

Gold Holds Not Far From The All-Time High Gold XAU/USD price dropped by 0.45% on Friday as the US dollar (USD) and Treasury yields increased. However, the bullion still managed to show a positive...

January Back To Positive Last week, we noted that while closely watching how the full month of January will turn out, we did generate a positive return during the first five trading days. “As of...

US corporations' hiring plans last year totaled 769,953 workers, the fewest since 2015, according to the labor research firm Challenger, Grey, and Christmas. Private sector data shows that the need...

This week will be crucial for markets as Trump is set to announce (or disappointingly not announce) tariffs. In this piece, I will highlight the rationale behind my base case scenario and its impact...

US Rates Update The US 10-year Bond Yield has completed wave i at the 5.021% high and we are correcting that 5-wave impulsive sequence within wave ii, which has the following retracement...

It was a strong week for US stocks and gold, with the S&P rising about 3% by the end of the week. Markets are bracing for potential volatility and policy surprises as Donald Trump is inaugurated...

Friday’s price action seemed suspicious at best and full casino mode, especially during an options expiration that appeared intent on wiping out as many 6,000 puts and calls as possible. It was a...

In last week’s discussion with Thoughtful Money, I noted that we are becoming more “tactically bearish” as we progress into 2025. While we have remained primarily bullish in equity positioning over...

If you draw enough lines on a stock chart, one of them is bound to predict the future accurately! Given that technical analysis is perfect in hindsight and flawed in foresight, many investors mock it...

From March 2022 through August 2024, there was widespread concern that the tightening of monetary policy by the Fed over that period would cause a recession. It was the most widely anticipated...

Gold has been grinding sideways for the better part of several months now, weighing on sentiment. Late October’s mounting bullishness is long gone, deteriorating to apathy. But gold’s recent high...