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Lance Roberts
More Revisions Could Be Coming to Employment Data By Lance Roberts - Dec 18, 2024 1

In August, the BLS revised 2024 employment growth lower by 818k jobs in its preliminary revision of its Current Employment Statistics (CES). Despite the substantial revision, more reductions to the...

Matthew Weller
FOMC Preview: Cut Then 'Prudent Pause' From Powell? By Matthew Weller - Dec 18, 2024 3

FOMC Meeting Key Takeaways Traders and economists confidently expect the Fed to reduce interest rates by 25bps to the 4.25-4.50% range. The Summary of Economic Projections and any Powell comments...

Michael Gouvalaris
Record retail sales not as good as they appear By Michael Gouvalaris - Dec 17, 2024

Total (EPA:TTEF) retail sales for November came in better than expectations, now $724.6 billion and another record high. Retail sales are now +38% above the pre-COVID high. Novembers gain came in at...

Al Brooks
S&P 500 E-mini Becoming Neutral on Daily Chart By Al Brooks - Dec 17, 2024

S&P Emini market analysis Emini daily chart  The Emini is in a tight trading range on the daily chart and, therefore, a neutral market. Traders should assume that the probability is close to 50%...

Ed Yardeni
Is the Fed Inflating and China Deflating? By Ed Yardeni - Dec 17, 2024 1

Last Thursday, we wrote, "After today's PPI, we won't be surprised if Fed officials plant a story in The Wall Street Journal over the weekend titled something like "Fed Officials Might Vote To Pause...

Charles Hugh Smith
All 3 Pillars Holding Up the Economy Have Cracked By Charles Hugh Smith - Dec 17, 2024

All three pillars propping up workforce spending are cracking. Plan accordingly. Karl Marx and Henry Ford both understood the key pillar of an industrial economy: the workforce has to earn enough to...

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