Market Overview

After Trump’s new tariffs, markets are on edge—again. But with the S&P 500 testing critical support, a rebound might still be possible. Meanwhile, gold shines as the only real safe haven amidst...

Is inflation or slower growth, and perhaps recession, the priority? This basic question hangs over the Federal Reserve as it grapples with deciding how to respond to global trade war. The risks shot...

For those of you with bearish nightmares, we share one important takeaway from Monday’s market roller coaster. While there is a good chance the market may explore new lows over the coming months, we...

Reciprocal tariffs kick in, risk sentiment takes another hit China faces 104% tariff, its response is awaited US equities remain under severe pressure, dollar suffers Gold and bitcoin recover; oil...

Rising Economic Uncertainty Supports Demand for Gold The gold (XAU/USD) price failed to rally on Tuesday and finished the trading session essentially unchanged as US Treasury yields continued to...

The S&P 500 is now down almost 19% since topping out in February. It closed at 4982.77 (chart). If it falls another 1.35% down to 4915.32, it will be in a bear market. The index was up sharply at...

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a simple heuristic for thinking about market returns. Basically, the idea is that the main risk that you can’t diversify away from is collective business...

Things are getting ugly, especially in rates and FX. Significant decoupling is occurring, indicating a potentially massive flight out of the U.S. and severe liquidity constraints now hitting the...

The first quarter of 2025 has been a particularly turbulent one for the financial markets: US equities had their worst relative performance in 23 years, Chinese markets rebounded, gold reached new...

By Mike Maharrey There is growing evidence that Americans may be edging close to the credit limit. That’s bad news for an economy that has run on credit cards for the last few years and adds to...

That is the billion-dollar question investors now face. One gauge to help us answer the question is corporate bond yield spreads. When the yield differential between corporate bond yields and...

The stock market is not thinking; it is only feeling, and this is when savvy investors can make the most returns for the months to come in their portfolios. Considering that the volatility breakout...

Pursuing a structual, sudden change in US trade policy is one thing. That alone is disruptive. Even if it’s a net plus in the longer term (a debatable proposition), the current burden that’s weighing...

Tariff-pause headlines slow down Wall Street’s bloodbath White House denies the reports, Trump threatens China Safe havens pull back on negotiation hopes, but still near their highs Oil tumbles on...