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Ed Yardeni
Is This the Beginning of Trade War 2.0? By Ed Yardeni - Feb 03, 2025 10

The markets certainly didn't give a ringing endorsement to Trump 2.0 tariffs announced on Friday: 25% each on Canada and Mexico and 10% on China. During his presidential campaign, Trump talked about...

Claudia Sahm
The Fed Won't Get to Be Boring for Too Long By Claudia Sahm - Feb 01, 2025 16

The Fed’s meeting lived up to expectations: boring. Boring is fine. They kept the federal funds rate unchanged at a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. The only market reaction resulted from some heavy-handed...

Michael Gouvalaris
US Economy Slows Slightly in Q4, but Consumer Remains Strong By Michael Gouvalaris - Jan 30, 2025

We got our first estimate of Q4 GDP yesterday morning. Gross Domestic Product adjusted for inflation (or real GDP) came in at $23.5 trillion in Q4. Meanwhile, nominal GDP came in at $29.7 trillion....

Octa
Gold Prices Dip as Fed Signals Caution on Rate Cuts By Octa - Jan 30, 2025 1

Gold Drops After the Fed Monetary Policy Meeting The gold (XAU/USD) price declined by 0.2% on Wednesday as the US dollar (USD) and bond yields rose after the Federal Reserve (Fed) held interest rates...

Michele Schneider
What Long Bonds Tell Us About Fed's Path By Michele Schneider - Jan 29, 2025

After the FOMC meeting, Jerome Powell said “We need real progress on inflation or a weak job market to cut.”   While we see certain commodities flying: coffee, corn, cattle, wheat, soybeans,...

Michael Kramer
Are Markets Pricing in Higher-for-Longer Scenario? By Michael Kramer - Jan 29, 2025

Stocks finished the day lower after the Fed held rates steady and signaled a more patient approach. If you listen to Powell’s talk, the takeaway is that the Fed is in a good place, and it sounds like...

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