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The week ahead will be light on economic indicators and heavy on executive orders (EOs). While the markets are closed on Monday for MLK Day, President Donald Trump was inaugurated into office for his...
Gold Rises as the US Dollar Weakened After Trump's Inauguration Gold (XAU/USD) price rose by 0.24% on Monday, supported by a weaker US dollar (USD), as markets evaluated the possible economic impact...
A fatal bout of runaway instability becomes inevitable when "extraordinary emergency measures" become permanently essential to keep the bubbles from popping. A funny thing happens as policies...
Donald Trump will be sworn in as the 47th president of the United States at 12 noon Eastern. When he takes the oath office for a second time at least one thing will be clear: He will enter the White...
Markets are in a relatively good mood Trump’s second presidency will commence today Dollar takes losses, while the crypto market is thriving Yen tries to benefit from BoJ expectations; oil...
Q4 earnings season officially kicked off this week with 21 S&P 500 companies (mostly financials) reporting earnings. 14 companies beat estimates, 6 missed, and 1 tied. The average “surprise...
Gold Holds Not Far From The All-Time High Gold XAU/USD price dropped by 0.45% on Friday as the US dollar (USD) and Treasury yields increased. However, the bullion still managed to show a positive...
January Back To Positive Last week, we noted that while closely watching how the full month of January will turn out, we did generate a positive return during the first five trading days. “As of...
Market Overview: S&P 500 Emini Futures The S&P 500 Emini bulls need follow-through buying to increase the odds of retesting the all-time high. If the market trades higher, the bears want a...
This week will be crucial for markets as Trump is set to announce (or disappointingly not announce) tariffs. In this piece, I will highlight the rationale behind my base case scenario and its impact...
US Rates Update The US 10-year Bond Yield has completed wave i at the 5.021% high and we are correcting that 5-wave impulsive sequence within wave ii, which has the following retracement...
“Non-Mega Cap stocks could reasonably outperform Mega Cap stocks by about 7 percentage points annually over the next decade,” writes Bill Hester. History, it seems, may validate thesis. As for a...
It was a strong week for US stocks and gold, with the S&P rising about 3% by the end of the week. Markets are bracing for potential volatility and policy surprises as Donald Trump is inaugurated...
Friday’s price action seemed suspicious at best and full casino mode, especially during an options expiration that appeared intent on wiping out as many 6,000 puts and calls as possible. It was a...
In last week’s discussion with Thoughtful Money, I noted that we are becoming more “tactically bearish” as we progress into 2025. While we have remained primarily bullish in equity positioning over...