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Charles Hugh Smith
The Great Catch-Up: Why Wages Are Set to Rise for Good By Charles Hugh Smith - May 25, 2023 2

Blowback has its own dynamics, as we'll learn in the decade ahead. One of the most durable expectations in the financial sphere is that inflation will drop sharply in a recession, and the Federal...

Alfonso Peccatiello
Are Markets Prepared for a Potential U.S. Debt Default? By Alfonso Peccatiello - May 23, 2023 16

The US is dangerously close to triggering its debt ceiling limit, yet markets seem very relaxed.The 2011 episode shows us how political incentive schemes can instead drag negotiations until the very...

James Picerno
Have Rate Hikes Ended? Fed Officials Leave Room for Debate By James Picerno - May 23, 2023

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday spoke the words that investors have longed to hear: the rate-hiking cycle is ending. Except that maybe it isn’t.Speaking at a conference last...

Charles Hugh Smith
Are You Ready for a Real Recession? By Charles Hugh Smith - May 23, 2023 18

What seemed safe and rock-solid in a real recession melts into the air. We haven't had a real recession in forty years (1981-82), so only those in the workforce back then have any experience of how...

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