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Ever since the 30-year Treasury bond yield (one ‘top-down’ macro tool to gauge the environment so that we may invest in, speculate upon, or avoid certain situations, accordingly) broke its...
US consumer inflation rose more than expected in August, but the surprise jump hasn’t persuaded markets to abandon expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at...
Ponzi schemes are still happening around us, like the one in Italy recently As wise investors, we need to recognize the red flags to protect our capital What steps can we take to avoid falling for...
On Wednesday, the Nigerian naira (NGN) was the best-performing currency among the 20 global currencies we track, while the Thai baht (THB) showed the weakest results. The New Zealand dollar (NZD) was...
ECB decision coming up, but is it a lose-lose for the euro? Dollar chops around after US inflation, awaits retail salesGold extends losing streak despite falling bond yieldsWill the ECB sink the euro?...
I doubt any of our readers are too surprised by the CPI reading coming in a bit hotter than expected.The bulk of it was in energy costs. Food costs were mixed with bread and meat up while eggs and...
The ECB meeting on Thursday is not likely to be as straightforward as many have seemed over the last year.Even before we get to the new economic forecasts and what that means for monetary policy over...
Oil prices extended 10-month highs on Wednesday. Meanwhile, annual inflation rose higher than expected to 3.7% in August.Oil prices soared to the highest since November 2022 on Wednesday...
Despite surging interest rates, there are few signs they are impeding economic activity or causing distress amongst borrowers. It may seem strange that higher rates are not proving troublesome for an...
UK contracts faster than expected One-off factors largely behind the decline, BoE still expected to hike Major support being tested in cable The UK economy contracted faster than expected in July...
Some analysts who favor one or two indicators to forecast US recessions have had a rough year. The reliance on a generally robust predictor may yet prove its worth in the months ahead. But so far the...
The monthly GDP numbers have been highly volatile, but we do expect slower growth over the coming months as the cooler jobs market and higher rates continue to biteThe UK economy contracted by half a...
The inflation data forecasts are pointing toward two contrasting scenarios The Core CPI could decline, while the CPI could inch up But the question still remains: How will the actual data affect the...
How US inflation report affects the US dollar and stocks
Markets are torn. Will the ECB hike this week or not? We think it will, but we look at how different scenarios can impact rates and FX. Even in our base case, we suspect that convincing markets that...