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Charles Hugh Smith
Front-Running the Fed Pivot Might Not Work Next Time By Charles Hugh Smith - May 08, 2023

The Fed has trained the trading-rats all too well, and there is no way to avoid the unintended consequences of the Fed's large-scale human behavioral experiment. The Federal Reserve has been running...

Marc Chandler
Hawkish BOE, U.S. and China CPIs to Drive Markets This Week By Marc Chandler - May 08, 2023

The combination of the US bank stress, the approaching debt ceiling, and the Fed's opening the door to a pause in rates weighed on risk sentiment and dragged the greenback lower. KBW Bank indices for...

Lance Roberts
Dangerous Consequences of Hiking the Minimum Wage By Lance Roberts - May 06, 2023 36

How does the minimum wage affect the Fed’s biggest fear? I touched on this subject previously as the Fed began its rate-hiking campaign. However, while the issue of the “millions of...

Jürgen Molnar
Double Top Looms in the DAX By Jürgen Molnar - May 05, 2023

While one regional bank after the next is in turmoil in the US, the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates as if nothing had happened. The key interest rate has now risen another 25 basis...

Michael Ashton
Food Inflation Served Hot and Cold By Michael Ashton - May 04, 2023 2

Well, the Fed is done raising interest rates. They aren’t quite done tightening yet, because the Federal Reserve is going to continue to shrink its balance sheet slowly. That’s...

James Picerno
Markets Consider Path for Fed Pause and Eventual Rate Cuts By James Picerno - May 04, 2023

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for a 10th straight time on Wednesday, lifting its target by a 1/4-point to a 5.0%-to-5.25% range, the highest since 2007. But there are hints that the...

Alfonso Peccatiello
The Fed Meeting Explained By Alfonso Peccatiello - May 04, 2023 1

Most likely, this was the last Fed hike of this tightening cycle.Even before the press conference, the omission of the key sentence ‘’some additional policy firming may be...

Steve Saville
Can the Government Create Wealth by Going Into Debt? By Steve Saville - May 04, 2023

Some economists/analysts argue that the government creates wealth in the private sector via deficit-spending. From an accounting perspective they are right, in that when the government borrows and...

Charles Hugh Smith
What if the Fed Has Lost Control? By Charles Hugh Smith - May 04, 2023 1

When this bubble bursts, there will be no fourth or fifth bubble, there will only be rubble. The US economy and its financial system operate under the implicit belief that the Federal Reserve...

Gary Tanashian
Copper/Gold Ratio Keeps Signaling Economic Deceleration By Gary Tanashian - May 03, 2023 4

To preface, I have no right to be right about the markets. All I have are indications that the herds either don’t know about or don’t care about (I know this by relative Twitter...

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