Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Gilts held 111.85 support and failure to quite fill the gap at 112.24/26 signals further downside pressure this week. Immediate support is 111.85 but a break lower is more negative. Go with the break...

Ten-year bond yields in six euro-area nations ended at a record low on Friday as geopolitical tensions fueled demand for the safest fixed-income securities (before everything was ruled 'fixed' later...

Gilts did gap lower to signal a potential top in the market. We bottomed above 111.85 support at 111.91. Below here today risks 111.66 then good support at 111.56/53 which should hold the downside....

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond has immediate resistance at 138.05/10 but any shorts need stops above 138.20 for a move towards last week's high at 138.47/53. We are overbought so we should...

Bund held just above immediate support is 149.10/05 but below here today is more negative and targets 148.89/84. This should hold the downside but a break lower adds pressure and targets 148.63/60....

Bobl severely overbought short term now with negative divergence on the daily chart but held just above our downside target and support at 128.60. Failure here today see 128.57/56 and 128.52. A good...

Gilts hit our upper target of 112.80/85 and topped exactly here. Profit taking hit and prices fell back to Thursday's high of 112.12 to fill the gap. Just be aware that a gap lower this morning is...

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond hit support at 137.45/44 and bottomed almost exactly here at 137.39, just above our short term buying opportunity at 137.34/30. We held this week's high at 137.96/99...

Russian Invasion TensionIt occurred Friday morning while most traders were asleep in illiquid markets where the 10-Year was forced down to basically 2.35% in Yield first on Ukraine worries over the...

A colleague friend of mine recently mentioned a Death Cross that has presented itself on the 10-Year-yield chart. He showed that when in the past the 50-day moving average for 10-yr. yields has moved...

Quoting the beginning of a recent article at Bloomberg.com: As junk bonds plunge in value, many investors are wondering why. There’s no obvious explanation for the 1.5 percent decline in U.S....

Despite indications of short-term momentum and sentiment extremes, 10-year yields continue to follow the arc of the 1994/1995 rate tightening cycle and are currently hovering around the...

Late last month I wondered if lower yields were signaling higher risk? The question still resonates. Indeed, the benchmark U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield is under 2.50% again, or near the lowest...

One of the arguments for why US Bonds are such an attractive investment even at these low yields is that relative to European Bonds the US Treasuries provide such a higher yield, but this analysis is...