Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Right now investors in European Bonds are running over each other all in an effort to front run what the Big Banks have been begging the ECB to begin a bond buying program similar to the United...

Bund future bias above 151.09 for 151.18 and targets at 151.36, maybe 151.76We stated in our last client report that “for Tuesday, we see digestion between 150.40 and 151.09” and the...

According to a Bloomberg report, the final disclosure rules for asset-backed bonds issuers are to be announced by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), later this week on Aug 27. As per...

At the beginning of the year, analysts and economists explained why interest rates would climb significantly. They anticipated a year-end 10-year yield of 3.4%, not 2.4%. Only a few bond-fund...

A worldwide deflation fear is expanding and may actually be rampant. BCA Daily Insights (August 25, 2014) notes that, “out of 32 OEC countries, more than two-thirds have domestic inflation rates...

We expect the TLTROs will boost liquidity. However, the amount of borrowing limits is unknown as it depends on net lending behaviour - we list four different scenarios that give an upper target...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note Large Speculator bearish positions fall to -43,534 contractsU.S. 10-Year Treasuries: Large futures market traders and speculators...

Push the LimitsIt has been a common theme in financial markets to push the limits on any possible edge, so if there are restrictions on banks and financial institutions use of leverage, lobby for...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened on Wednesday, with minutes from the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in focus.Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes held steady, yielding...

Last Friday, interest rates hit 2.30% on the 10-year bond. While counter intuitive, this looks like a long-term bottom prior to a move back to 3%. The charts always tell us the truth, so let's take a...

A quantitative run through of the Swedish Fixed Income market, starting with the Riksbank and Money Markets before moving on to government and mortgage bonds. To Read the Entire Report Please Click on...

U.S. 10-Year future correction phaseAlthough we remain bullish for the second half of August, we stated in our last report that “early this week, however, the intraday setback Friday likely...

In Sweden, the week ahead has only one data point of interest: the labour force survey (Thursday at 09:30 CEST), including hours worked, employment and the unemployment rate. In the government bond...

The 10-Year government bond yield in Japan is now around 0.5%, following an almost linear decline that started in 2006. The only way to rationalize buying 10-yr JGBs at 0.5% is believing that Japan...