Bonds Analysis & Opinion

In the late 1990's and 2007 the PIMCO High Yield fund (PHDAX) formed bearish rising wedges. Once support broke, the fund rallied to kiss the underside of the wedge and its 200-MA at each (1), then it...

Four points in the chart of the 20-Year Treasury ETF (ARCA:TLT) suggest that it's poised to take another step higher. After a pullback through most of September, the ETF found a bottom near the 113...

Nice reaction from contract lows going on for the U.S. 10-Year. The daily trend is now up according to my proprietary analytical tools and will remain up as long as price stays over 124.25. Next...

A sharp three-week rally in government-bond yields looks to have scared many investors. Bloomberg reported Thursday morning that the (ARCA:TLT) had it largest daily outflow in three years on...

Nice reaction from contract lows going on for the U.S. 10-Year Note on Tuesday. According to my proprietary analytical tools, the daily trend turned up yesterday and will remain up as long as price...

Lately I've seen numerous articles and comments made that just because the Federal Reserve raises interest rates it will only affect the short end of the yield curve -- but not the long end. That...

In a 9/9 interview on CNBC, Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO and CIO of Doubleline Capital, provided some very useful insights into the recent behavior of the bond market and its implications for Fed policy. He...

U.S. 10-Year Treasuries showed a nice reaction after marking a new contract low early on Friday. The daily trend is still down though. Friday’s upmove offers hope for some technical rebound...

One of the striking ironies of our modern economy is that government bonds are considered safe-haven investments, while Gold is a “barbarous relic” to be avoided at all costs. Since...

The general election in Sweden points towards a change of government from the centre/right "Alliance" towards the Social democratic and Green Party coalition supported by the Left party. We doubt we...

U.S. 10-Year future bear phase to extendWe stated in our last report to clients that “we see downside pressures to still aim lower Friday and through mid-September to the 124-00 retrace level...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note: Large Speculator 10-year note positions saw decreased bearish levels 10-Year Treasuries: Large futures market speculators...

The Pimco High Yield fund (PHDAX) for a period of time around from 1997 to 1999 and 2005 to 2007 found it difficult to move higher, creating a series of level highs. At the same time it created a...

The Power of the Pattern suggested that interest rates were about to blast off in May of 2013, because it looked like a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern in yields was in play. What happened...