Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The drop in US bond yields is perhaps the biggest surprise for investors this year.  The gradual decline in Federal Reserve buying, faster growth and the prospects for a rate hike in 2015 were...

A quantitative run through of the Swedish Fixed Income market, starting with the Riksbank and Money Markets before moving on to government and mortgage bonds. To Read the Entire Report Please Click on...

Let me ask you a personal question…Do you use protection? Because based on the recent, wild action in the markets, it seems as though many people have been practicing unsafe investing. Across...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note Large Speculator 10 year note positions push lower last week to lowest level since May 10 Treasuries: Large futures speculators...

Below is a weekly chart of the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury ETF (ARCA:TLT), which tracks an ETF tracking 20+ year US Treasury bonds. The chart shows a huge reversal candlestick, complete with a...

Is inflation dead? And monetary policy too? Portfolio allocation: long duration has not been enough over the past month. Amid an underweight of mortgage bonds, we keep our long duration versus...

March/April I was quoted as saying the U.S. 10-Year yield won't break 2.72; August/September I said that it wouldn't break 2.66. Both held as the downtrend continued.At 2.09, a fresh downtrend is...

Yesterday’s markets were a rather sudden trip down memory lane for us macro watchers as echoes of 2011 and 2012 hammered prices. What I will say is that these moves do look like an over-reaction...

10-year Treasuries may revisit the 128 handle after a long time in order to breakout and make a new 20-month high. This level is closely watched and may provide big resistance, but a breakout...

The U.S. 10-Year T-Note has formed a rising wedge (pink) within a likely megaphone (bright blue on chart).The VWAP of the rising wedge is the same as the megaphone VWAP.It’s possible the...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note: Large Speculator 10 year note positions accelerated lower last week10 Year Treasuries: Large futures speculators sharply raised...

Dovishness Begets Excessive Risk Taking by SpeculatorsThe Fed minutes came out this past week and they mentioned the strong dollar and less than stellar growth out of Europe, basically more over...

If you have been paying close attention to the stock market, market internals/breadth and bonds for the past three months, you’ve likely come to the same conclusion that I have.Signs Of...

As long as there’s been debt, a way to resolve unpayable debt has needed to exist.A passage from Deuteronomy in the Bible talks about creditors canceling debts every seven years. Throughout 19th...