Bonds Analysis & Opinion

An up market would seem to frustrate most participants.

Although the rate of interest currently paid on high quality bonds today is at levels last seen in the early 1950s, investors generally allocate a portion of their investment portfolio to bonds. One...

We’ve been hearing for months if not years that the Fed is going to push rates higher.Do billions of free thinking people have anything to do with where rates go from here? We think so! Below...

The rate on the 10-year US Treasury Note had its best week since June last week with a gain of 8.46% to close at 23.33. It even printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on Friday.Most of the...

The investing environment remains challenging. Equity valuations are high after a 6 year extraordinary bull market. Bonds have been in a bull market for 35 years and yields, though off their 2012...

Hedge funds picked just the right time to boost bearish bets on Treasuries by the most since March 2013.Large speculators including hedge funds increased net short positions in 10-year notes by...

A December interest-rate hike is a “live possibility,” Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said in yesterday’s testimony in Congress. The Treasury market took the hint and the U.S....

The odds of being struck by lightning are an insignificant 0.03 percent, yet many people still worry it might happen to them. There’s even a name for it: astraphobia. Similarly, some muni bond...

When it comes to trading, I am all about “quantifying” things. Still, the fact remains that a lot of useful information can be gleaned from simple observations. Take the chart in Figure 1...

Yields exceeding 2.50% -- and then 3.05% -- will be the game changer in the 10-year Treasury market.10-year Treasury yields Chart: Investing.com

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators edged bets lower 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note futures...

Income investors are naturally drawn to bonds. After all, they provide guaranteed income for minimal risk.However, bonds can be problematic when yields are expected to rise. At the moment, short-term...

Markets are pricing in a very slim chance rates will go up in 2015Source: Short Side of Long The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) has been a bunch of busy bees this week, as they meet to...

Are We or Aren’t We at Full Employment?The changing nature of the US labor market continues to confuse analysts. Robert Waldmann at Angry Bear argues the low level of unemployment claims and...