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Nikkei 225 Mini Futures -

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38,330.00 +300.00    +0.79%
22/11 - Closed. Currency in JPY
Type:  Index Future
Market:  Japan
Underlying:  Nikkei 225
  • Prev. Close: 38,030.00
  • Open: 37,925.00
  • Day's Range: 37,725.00 - 38,500.00
Nikkei 225 38,330.00 +300.00 +0.79%

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Nikkei 225 Futures Discussions

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Zombi ee
Zombi ee Nov 21, 2024 11:37PM ET
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I will buy the 3x leverage. Because the yen is shit and Japan is only interested in stocks.kkk🤣🤣🤣🤣kkk🤣🤣🤣🤣kkk🤣🤣🤣🤣kkk🤣🤣🤣🤣
Zombi ee
Zombi ee Nov 21, 2024 11:37PM ET
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I started with 20,000 but became rich. Thank you Japan.k🤣🤣🤣🤣
Zombi ee
Zombi ee Nov 21, 2024 11:37PM ET
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Please maintain a low interest rate policy. I think as long as they don't exceed 3% interest rate, the yen will fall and I will only do 3x leverage investments.
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 21, 2024 11:00PM ET
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All those years of can kicking and smoke and mirrors! All to get you exactly where?! I'm sure the youth of today will thank everyone later! Sure they will when they wake up to the fact that you stuck them with the bill!!! Great job central banks and governments! Japan leading the way!
Bob Ba
Bob Ba Nov 21, 2024 7:14PM ET
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Ueda have to comment about weak yen, seems they feel pain enough.
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 21, 2024 7:14PM ET
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Chief Smoke and Mirrors man! Anything to run from reality. Thanks BOJ. You can kid everyone else, but can you kid yourself? Kuroda was the man! He left you a nice cupcake of joy, didn't he?!
V R
V R Nov 21, 2024 5:18AM ET
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Does anybody have an idea of the cost of japanes debt for the next 10 years? My best guess is that could be around 0 for the next two years...but from there I can't figure out any number
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 21, 2024 5:18AM ET
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Japan mostly monetizes its debt. However, if they normalize like they say they are going to, the the costs will be huge. Debt to GDP in Japan is double what it is in the US, so if they do normalize then the interest payments will be massive. But Japan’s government shows no signs of slowing their debt spending. Just more digging and smoke and mirrors for now.
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 21, 2024 5:18AM ET
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That said, the debt iis sso massive that debt spending at thus point is mostly counterproductive. The future the government envisions as arriving, where they stop tinkering and implement needed structural change wont happen until they are convinced the tail cannot wag the dog, but thatcreality still seems a long way off.
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 21, 2024 5:18AM ET
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Here is how AI explains what Japan is doing. This also explains why Japan is digging itself constantly in deeper. The fact that the government ignores reality is quite scary. It also explains why the yen is so weak. The fact that the government continues to ignore reality ought to be on investors' radar, but clearly it is not. Hence, Japan's market is a massive bubble. When a government "monetizes debt," it typically means that the government is funding its spending by creating new money. This process involves the central bank buying government securities (bonds) directly from the government or on the open market, effectively injecting new money into the economy. Here's a simplified explanation of how this process works: Government Issuing Bonds: When a government needs to borrow money, it typically issues bonds to investors. These bonds are essentially IOUs where the government promises to pay back the borrowed amount plus interest at a later date. Monetization of Debt: Instead of the traditional method of borrowing from the public or foreign investors, the government can turn to the central bank to purchase these bonds. The central bank buys government bonds by creating new money electronically, thus increasing the money supply in the economy. Impact: By monetizing debt, the government effectively increases the money supply without a corresponding increase in goods and services. This can lead to inflationary pressures in the economy if not carefully managed. Additionally, it can erode confidence in the currency if done excessively. Risks: Monetizing debt can have long-term consequences, such as devaluing the currency, higher inflation rates, and potential loss of confidence in the government's ability to manage its finances effectively. Overall, while monetizing debt can provide short-term relief by allowing the government to fund its operations, it can have serious implications for the economy if used inappropriately or excessively.
Moc Lov
Moc Lov Nov 20, 2024 8:10PM ET
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Go go go...ikeee....
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 11:17PM ET
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The mania in markets these days is unrivalled in the lifetime of pretty much anyone alive. It is unbelievable how few people in markets these days have done their homework, or even any homework, for that matter.
Moc Lov
Moc Lov Nov 19, 2024 11:17PM ET
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Ah...45k on the way...nothing can stop...
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 11:17PM ET
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Oh, there are still buyers now when the expected return on this index is MINUS six percent annually. So I'm sure MINUS ten percent annually will be ever bettter. The numbers don't matter anymore at all. So why stop at 45k? Why not 80k or 100k? MINUS twenty percent annual returns make little more sense to buy than MINUS six percent returns, so why even care anymore? Sure, 45k here we come!!!
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 11:16PM ET
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Buy your shares now and lock in a long term loss of more than six percent! According to AI: The current ratio of total market cap over GDP for Japan is 165.71%. The recent 20 year high was 174.27%; the recent 20 low was 45.59%. If we assume that the ratio will reverse to the recent 20 years mean of 97.91% over the next 8 years, the contribution to expected annual return is -6.37%.
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 11:16PM ET
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That's more than a six percent ANNUAL LOSS by the way.
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 11:16PM ET
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So if if you get a six percent annual dividend (good luck finding that), I guess you will break even! Amazing!
Nov 19, 2024 7:34PM ET
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Chuck
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 7:34PM ET
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As for what markets will do now, I dont know the short term. I honestly only very rarely have a sense for the short term, and even then I get it wrong. I am not a daytrader. I am a value investor, looking to get fair prices or better on stocks so I can relax and live my life without always worrying over governments sacrificing their economies and the lives of their people just to juice stock prices.
Moc Lov
Moc Lov Nov 19, 2024 7:34PM ET
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Sure it will crash eventually. By end of 2025...after reach 45k...
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 7:34PM ET
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That's very hard to say. Nobody can predict that. As for 45k, that would imply about a MINUS five percent annual return for the following ten years, which seems incredibly unlikely. Who wants to buy shares that offer a negative return that large. At current valuations the expected long term return on Japanese shares is already MINUS 3 or 4% annually. Do you really think people are that silly?
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 7:34PM ET
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Actually at 45k the expected annual return would be maybe closer to MINUS 8 or MINUS 9 percent expected annual returns. Here is what AI says about returns at current prices: The current ratio of total market cap over GDP for Japan is 165.71%. The recent 20 year high was 174.27%; the recent 20 low was 45.59%. If we assume that the ratio will reverse to the recent 20 years mean of 97.91% over the next 8 years, the contribution to expected annual return is -6.37%.
Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Nov 19, 2024 7:34PM ET
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Why would anyone buy shares that pretty much guarantee a HUGE LOSS? This I do not understand. And at even higher prices the expected losses will be even bigger!!!
Ondřej Dobečka
Ondřej Dobečka Nov 19, 2024 3:00PM ET
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37050-38700-33450-37300-30250-34700-24450... Start now
Ondřej Dobečka
Ondřej Dobečka Nov 19, 2024 3:00PM ET
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Final edit: 37000-39150-33300-37450-29900-35650-24100...37650
Bob Ba
Bob Ba Nov 19, 2024 11:31AM ET
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Seems dip buy always true LoL.
 
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