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Nikkei 225 Mini Futures - Feb 24

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38,195.00 -10.00    -0.03%
10/05 - Closed. Currency in JPY ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Index Future
Market:  Japan
Underlying:  Nikkei 225
  • Prev. Close: 38,195.00
  • Open: 38,065.00
  • Day's Range: 37,975.00 - 38,725.00
Nikkei 225 38,195.00 -10.00 -0.03%

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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 5 minutes ago
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1715602083_76508.jpg
How is Japan doing so well as you Japan bulls think. I am long the Hang Seng, and look at it fly. This index is not even keeping up with the US500, and its currency has generally weakened a lot--meaning any Americans or investors from other countries have done very very poorly recently on a position in this index.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 4 minutes ago
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The blue is the Hang Seng, and the red is the US500 or Standard and Poor's 500.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 1 minute ago
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I have misled no one.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay Just Now
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Give it time and you will see this index will sink and sink A LOT.
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Ondřej Dobečka
Ondřej Dobečka 2 hours ago
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43k
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Sohai Cat
Sohai Cat 3 hours ago
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Chucky, stop acting like messiah. U have done enough damage since last year misleading people to short. U cant even pass the 1st stage to become a messiah.u better try writing children fairy tale books. Lmao
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 26 minutes ago
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I have misled no one. The numbers are all there. Euphoria and animal spirits have driven this rally. The number do not add up. If GDP had risen you might have a case, but you dont. Also, as explained below, very high ratios of debt to GDP hinder GDP growth. Japan's level of debt to GDP is extremely high, hence expecting it to suddenly break out of its three plus decade long flat GDP level is silly. Hence, higher stock prices out of the usual range, as now, is not rational: Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Research has shown that when a country's debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds a certain threshold (often estimated around 90% to 100%), it can have a detrimental effect on economic growth. As the debt burden increases, it can lead to reduced private investment, lower productivity, and hinder long-term economic expansion. Crowding Out Effect: High levels of government borrowing can crowd out private sector investment by increasing interest rates and reducing the availability of funds for businesses and individuals. This can dampen private sector activity, which is a crucial driver of GDP growth. Debt Servicing Costs: When a significant portion of government revenue is allocated towards servicing debt, it leaves fewer resources available for productive investments in areas such as infrastructure, education, and innovation. This can hinder long-term economic growth potential. Investor Confidence and Interest Rates: Excessive government debt can erode investor confidence in a country's ability to repay its obligations. This can lead to higher borrowing costs as investors demand higher interest rates on government bonds. The resulting increase in interest rates can negatively impact private sector borrowing costs and investment, thereby affecting GDP growth. Austerity Measures: In some cases, countries burdened with extreme government debt have resorted to austerity measures, such as tax increases and spending cuts, to regain fiscal stability. These measures often have a contractionary effect on the economy, leading to reduced consumer spending, lower business investment, and overall slower GDP growth.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 23 minutes ago
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In case you didnt know, Japan's debt to GDP level exceeds the 90 to 100% range the above passage points to, and by a lot. Japan's debt to GDP levels are in excess of 250% of GDP.
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Ondřej Dobečka
Ondřej Dobečka 5 hours ago
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ChuckKay is spaming, new ATH is coming :D :D :D
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 4 hours ago
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This forum is dead as a doornail. Nobody posts here. People just come, downvote and leave without a whisper of what is on their minds, or any whys or wherefores. Just empty disagreement with no word but an occasional senseles mesage that means nothing.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 4 hours ago
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senseless message*
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Sohai Cat
Sohai Cat 4 hours ago
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Agree. Stop spamming the forum chucky.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 19 minutes ago
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It's a DEAD forum. Without me, there would be NO discussion here at all!
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 6 hours ago
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What people need to understand, and this applies to both Japanese and US stocks, generally speaking, is that prices are high for two reasons, and that in both cases there is ALWAYS subsequent reversion to the mean. Hence, there are two forces that will pull these bubble prices down, and that is irregardless of current imbalances, like very very high sovereign AND private debt, and in both countries. The first is margins, which will revert. The second is profit multiples, which will revert. GLTA.
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dummey dummey
dummey dummey 9 hours ago
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again swing down correction come TRG 37900
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 12 hours ago
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All the downvotes only prove one thing. First, that I am right because I am obviously hitting a sore spot. Second, that someone very likely has multiple accounts, and knows I'm right and is really really scared. All I can say is, I have been diligently doing my homework for DECADES. And I mean no one any harm. On the contrary, I am simply warning people to be careful and to do your homework without reserve and diligently, like me. Honestly I am worried.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay May 10, 2024 6:35PM ET
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That fast falling vix, for what it's worth, can pretty typically signal a coming market drop. But don't trust me and please and do your own dd. GLTA.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay May 10, 2024 4:13PM ET
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In the book Liar’s Poker these guys employed in finance have these bonds they know are going to soon be worthless, right? And so they call up these rich people and give them some phoney story and the people buy the bonds. And then after the call is over and they hang up, they howl with laughter. Dont kid yourself. These salespeople with fancy narratives about Japan are no better. And they have people trusting them hook, line and sinker.
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Zombi e
Zombi e May 10, 2024 9:32AM ET
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There is no change in interest rates. Stocks always go up. However, the yen's value is falling. The same is true this year.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay May 10, 2024 9:32AM ET
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Stocks always go up, lol. Sure they do. Just tell that to the Japanese who bought stocks in 1989 and waited 35 years to break even.
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