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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
Equity Monitor: A January Surge By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 30, 2013

The year came in like a lion on the world’s equity markets. At this writing the MSCI All Country World index is up 4.4% from the beginning of the year. The gains in the advanced countries were...

Fed Maintains Dovish Tone By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 30, 2013

The U.S. Federal Reserve kept the fed funds rate unchanged at zero and its statement was little changed. It re-emphasized the thresholds for the unemployment rate (6.5%) and the inflation rate (2.5%)...

NBC Daily Forex : January 29, 2013 By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 30, 2013

Moody’s downgraded the credit ratings of five of Canada’s big banks. The main reasons cited were record household debt levels and a possible correction of housing prices that the U.S....

2013: The Return Of Currency Volatility?   By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 30, 2013

Unable to find a compromise on a lasting solution to the deficit and debt problem, US politicians are resorting to short-term extensions of measures to push back the threat of a potential economic...

NBC Daily Forex : January 28, 2013 By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 29, 2013

The 2013 edition of the World Economic Forum, where the global financial elite meet in Davos, in the Swiss Alps to discuss problems affecting the entire planet, wrapped up yesterday. It appears that...

Major News This Week : January 28, 2013   By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 29, 2013

Last Wednesday, the Bank of Canada surprised the financial markets by stating that even if the key interest rate will eventually increase, rate hikes now were less imminent. Low inflation pressures...

U.S. Retail investors Most Bullish In Two Years By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 28, 2013

According to just-released data, equity mutual funds recorded net inflows for the third consecutive week trough Jan. 23 (+1.4 billion in U.S. equities). The performance of the ETF sector was not as...

Monthly Fixed Income Monitor   By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 28, 2013

Conditions in European financial markets have improved significantly. With fears concerning convertibility or redenomination risk in the eurozone bond market now virtually gone, maintaining financial...

Canada: CPI Fell Further In December By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 28, 2013

FACTS: Canada’s consumer price index fell 0.6% in December, versus consensus expectations for only a 0.2% drop. The sharp monthly decline allowed the annual inflation rate to remain unchanged at...

S&P/TSX Composite Index: Earnings Season Report   By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 28, 2013

The Canadian S&P/TSX Composite index is entering another reporting season. 8 companies have yet to report in January. This will be followed by another 126 index constituents in February and 96 in...

Canadian Bonds Increase As The Loonie Retreats By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 27, 2013

The Bank of Canada did not budge, which came as no surprise. However, the change in its tone was unexpected: the BoC stated that rate increases announced in months past are less imminent, which caused...

Canada: CPI Expected To Come In Btween 1.2% And 1.4% By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 27, 2013

This morning's Canadian Consumer Price Index is expected to come in between 1.2% and 1.4% depending on whether or not the most volatile elements are included. Given Governor Carney's more cautious...

U.S.: Earnings Yield Gap Still The Widest Since The 1950s By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 24, 2013

Preliminary data on weekly inflows into U.S. mutual funds suggest that the previous week’s surge into equity funds was not a fluke. According to Reuters, inflows were again positive last week....

Canadian Retail Sales Rose 0.2% In November By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 24, 2013

FACTS: Canadian retail sales rose 0.2% in November, topping consensus expectations. There was, however, a two-tick downward revision to the prior month to +0.5%. There were stronger sales in only 4 of...

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