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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 20, 2015

Expansionary monetary policy in ChinaComments by Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz last week combined with Friday’s inflation data helped the loonie end the week up close to 250 bps against...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 16, 2015

Poloz is now optimisticStephen Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), is now forecasting that inflation will be a factor sooner and that economic growth will be more sustained across the...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 15, 2015

Bank of Canada Rate Decision this morning at 10 AMIt’s an important day in Canada, as our central bank will hand down its key rate decision, and the NHL playoffs start this evening. Even if most...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 14, 2015

U.S Retails sales releaseKoichi Hamada, an adviser to Japan’s Prime Minister Abe stated yesterday in a Bloomberg interview that the yen at a level around 105 would be appropriate. He also said...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 13, 2015

Hillary Clinton confirms she’s running for US presidentLast Friday, employment figures released for Canada were a pleasant surprise for analysts, as 28,700 jobs were created in March,...

FX Daily Update: Behind The Scenes With The Fed By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 08, 2015

Last Friday, disappointing U.S. jobs figures had driven the USD toward the bottom of its range over the past 10 weeks. This bearish trend could be ramped up today with the release at 2 p.m. of the...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 07, 2015

Oil industry fallout spill over into the rest of the Canadian economyAlthough many Canadian companies have been able to take advantage of the current weak loonie, plunging crude oil prices have...

USD/CAD Still Volatile By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 06, 2015

In contrast with preceding weeks, when central banks stole the show, last week was notable for the release of numerous economic indicators in the U.S. and Canada. The Canadian dollar continued to be...

Weekly Energy: Consolidation Continues By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 06, 2015

The energy market continued to consolidate last week as the data on U.S. crude oil inventories showed the initial signs of a reduction in U.S. output. We were also interested in the agreement reached...

FX Daily Update: General Agreement On Iranian Nuclear Program By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 06, 2015

Late last Thursday in Lausanne, the countries of Iran, the U.S., the U.K., France, Russia, China and Germany reached a framework for an accord on Iran's nuclear restrictions for the next ten years....

FX Daily Update: Discussions With Iran Continuing By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 02, 2015

It appears this morning that negotiations will continue beyond the limits initially set by all concerned parties. Laurent Fabius, the Foreign Affairs Minister for France conceded that the final meters...

European, Asian Manufacturing Sectors Surprise Markets By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 01, 2015

We learned in the past few hours that both the Chinese and European manufacturing sectors performed better than initially expected by the analysts polled by Bloomberg. In China, the Manufacturing PMI...

Ongoing Iran And Greece Discussions Impact Forex By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 01, 2015

Geopolitics is front and centre this morning. In Europe, the lack of apparent progress between Greece and its creditors is worrying investors once again, driving down the single currency. In the...

Oil: Anticipating A Rebound By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 30, 2015 1

The commodities market had another very tumultuous week as the U.S. dollar weakened and tensions in the Middle East pushed up oil prices. The most striking event of the week was the campaign of air...

USD/CAD, Oil And Canadian Swap Rates By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 30, 2015

Again last week, central banks greatly influenced the financial markets. After losing more than 125 points, the USD/CAD rebounded strongly on Friday and ended the week up by 50 points. The WTI...

FX Daily Update: Loonie Loses Against Greenback By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 30, 2015

North American Central Bank Statements Last Friday, U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen reiterated that the Fed's position remains entirely dependent on economic indicators. The Fed will...

Restless Markets: Primed For Volatility By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 26, 2015

This morning, there are rumblings of a new conflict in the Middle East, with Saudi forces backed by the United States undertaking military maneuvers against Yemen. One of the first impacts was...

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