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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
Oil: Is The Worst Behind Us? By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 09, 2015

The price of oil jumped in the largest 2-week increase since the spring of 1998, suggesting that the worst of the correction may now be behind us. As we mentioned in last week's column, we believe...

When Will We See A Rate Hike From The Fed? By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 09, 2015

Employment figures released south of the border on Friday showed that the U.S. economy continues to grow, with 2014 the best year for job creation since 1999. Yields on U.S. 10-Year bonds jumped more...

The ECB Hardens Its Tone Against Greece By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 05, 2015

At the end of the session yesterday, the ECB announced that it would stop taking Greek government bonds used by banks as collateral under its return for funding program. Under this program, banks are...

The USD And Competitive Devaluation By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 04, 2015

The US dollar continues to benefit from the divergence of monetary policy. The stronger U.S. economy has raised the probability of rate hikes by the Fed at a time when several other major central...

Good Quarter For US Companies By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 04, 2015

Crude Oil prices continued to climb yesterday and this, coupled with the release of good corporate earnings, encouraged investors to take risks. North American markets and the loonie all recorded...

Oil Over $51 A Barrel By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 03, 2015

Yesterday, after having gone through some rough patches during January, the loonie took advantage of a rebound in crude oil prices to record an excellent day. Oil continues to appreciate this morning...

Crude Oil Continues To Bounce Back By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 02, 2015

After rising by 8.3% on Friday, WTI crude oil briefly went over the $50 a barrel mark this morning, the first time this has happened since January 15. Since June 20, 2014, crude oil prices have fallen...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 29, 2015

Unpleasant surprises have been coming fast and furious for Canada, as Statistics Canada slashed its job growth numbers for 2014 (from +185,700 to 121,300), a move that quickly fed speculation...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 29, 2015

A little shine came off the greenback yesterday, as it lost ground against all major currencies except the Swiss franc, which was hard-hit by the manoeuvring of it’s central bank. Some analysts...

SNB Determined To Shake Up Markets By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 27, 2015

The election of the Syriza party in Greece on Sunday after promising to restructure the country's sovereign debt continues to be a hot topic, as pundits wonder what other EU member nations are...

Cheap Oil Hinders Canadian Economy By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 26, 2015

Investors were caught by surpriseon Wednesday when the Bank of Canada announced that it was lowering its key interest rate. This weighed heavily on the Canadian dollar, which fell by close to 4% over...

More Turbulence On The Menu For Euro And Canadian Dollar By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 26, 2015

The shockwave set off by central bank announcements last week continues, resulting in major fluctuations, particularly for the euro and Canadian dollar. For the former, tension remains palpable, as...

Weekly Economic Watch   By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 25, 2015

Canada – The consumer price index fell 0.7% in December, allowing the year-on-year inflation rate to sink to 1.5% (from 2.0%), the lowest since February 2014. In seasonally adjusted terms, CPI...

Weekly Energy By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 20, 2015

CommentariesAfter a correction that has lasted several weeks, energy prices are finally showing some signs of stabilizing, with the price of WTI rising slightly at the end of last week. Prices rose...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 20, 2015

U.S. Inflation figures for December came in at their lowest levels in six years. Although U.S. Federal Reserve board members believe that the impact of lower oil on inflation is temporary, the rising...

Swiss National Bank Destabilizes Markets By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 15, 2015

Yesterday's U.S. December Retail Sales figures proved a major disappointment to analysts, dropping 0.9% with negative growth across 9 of the 13 main categories. In Canada, the Teranet - National Bank...

Oil, Retail Sales And JP Morgan By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 14, 2015

Another sign that current oil prices could weigh down the Canadian economy came yesterday when Alberta oil sands giant Suncor Energy (TO:SU) announced that it would eliminate 1,000 jobs in 2015....

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