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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - May 11, 2015

After the release of North American employment figures (April) on Friday—below expectations for Canada (-20,000) and according to expectations in the U.S. (+ 223,000)—the attention of...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - May 07, 2015

U.S. stocks overvalued, Yellen saysAt a conference in Washington yesterday, accompanied by IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, Fed Chair Janet Yellen...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - May 06, 2015

In a speech yesterday, Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins tempered the recent optimistic comments by Governor Stephen Poloz, stressing that weak job creation in Canada is a sign...

Cyclical USD weakness By The National Bank of Canada - May 05, 2015

The trade-weighted US Dollar Index's impressive run ended with a nearly 2% decline in April, the worst monthly performance since September 2013. Weaker than expected US economic data in the first...

Australia Gives Itself Room To Maneuver By The National Bank of Canada - May 05, 2015

Yesterday, we received confirmation that the U.S. manufacturing sector is recovering, with growth of 2.1% in Factory Orders for March. The USD/CAD pairing has remained relatively stationary since...

Australia Gives Itself Room To Manoeuvre By The National Bank of Canada - May 05, 2015

Yesterday, we received confirmation that the U.S. manufacturing sector is recovering, with growth of 2.1% in Factory Orders for March. The USD/CAD pairing has remained relatively stationary since...

Global Oil Continues To Climb By The National Bank of Canada - May 04, 2015

Energy prices, measured in U.S. dollars, continued to climb last week, with WTI, North Sea crude (Brent) and diesel up 3.3%, 1.6% and 2.9%, respectively, on the week. Black gold is now trading at...

The Dollar Vs. The Loonie By The National Bank of Canada - May 04, 2015

The USD/CAD began the week in the red zone as the greenback lost nearly 230 points to the loonie. However, that trend reversed later in the week and the USD/CAD finished the week at the same level...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - May 04, 2015

Is this the beginning of a USD rally?The US dollar picked up steam again Friday after losing some 5.5% over the last three weeks in April against major currencies.Over the same period, the loonie...

Weekly Economic Watch By The National Bank of Canada - May 03, 2015

Canadian GDP Growth Stalls in FebruaryYesterday’s release of Canadian GDP data (February) revealed that the economy stalled during the second month of 2015. In addition, Statistics Canada...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 30, 2015

The Fed Will Wait and SeeYesterday a flurry of U.S. economic indicators was released. First, the 1st reading of U.S. GDP data revealed that in Q1, the economy only grew at a rate of 0.2% (YoY). Given...

All Eyes on the United States By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 29, 2015

Yesterday, the US dollar fell against major currencies after the USD Consumer Confidence Index was released. Specifically with respect to the loonie, the greenback gave up more than 50 bps. Household...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 28, 2015

Greek ShuffleYesterday saw the loonie continue to rise against the greenback. Markets are awaiting the release of important economic indicators in both the U.S. and Canada, in addition to the Federal...

Oil Feels Yemen's Strife By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 27, 2015

For a sixth week in a row, the price of oil closed the week highe ron Friday as renewed bombing in Yemen underscored how unstable the region has become. New data from the U.S. Department of Energy on...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 27, 2015

Japan’s credit rating is cutThis morning, the loonie and crude oil prices are showing some signs of stability after having rebounded last week. Data released on Friday from oil driller Baker...

Canada Confirms New Federal Budget Surplus By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 22, 2015

After a long stretch of deficit budgets in Canada, the federal budget tabled yesterday by the Conservative government confirmed a surplus of $1.4 billion for this year, despite plunging crude oil...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Apr 21, 2015

In a speech in New York yesterday, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz confirmed that January’s surprise key rate cut had provided the desired result after the shock surrounding the nosedive...

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