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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
A Decrease In China's Growth Forecast May Be Coming   By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 24, 2015

According to a recent Bloomberg survey of economists, it seems quite likely that Chinese government leaders will revise the economy's growth projections downward. It would be revised to 6.5% for 2016...

Federal Reserve Back On Offensive By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 22, 2015

During his speech yesterday, Dennis Lockhart, President and CEO of the Atlanta Reserve, mentioned that a rate increase was entirely possible before the end of 2015. His comments, which are in line...

Rate-Hike USA: It's Coming By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 21, 2015

On Thursday the curtain finally rose on this keenly-anticipated decision. As predicted by most observers, the Fed made no changes to monetary policy, maintaining its key rate in the range of 0% to...

Tsipras Re-elected In Greece   By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 21, 2015

Alexis Tsipras won his elections for the second time this year. His party, Syriza, took in 35.5% of the votes against 28% for the closest challenger, the New Democracy. Syriza will therefore be able...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 18, 2015

We’re about to experience turbulence… please fasten your seatbelts!The Fed’s eagerly awaited key rate decision at 2 p.m. today could definitely cause a fair bit of stirring on...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 16, 2015

D-Day-1, the Fed begins its meetingEconomic indicators released yesterday provided little in the way of clear indications as to the health of the U.S. economy. August Retail Sales failed to meet...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 10, 2015

Status quo for the Bank of CanadaThe Bank of Canada opted to hold steady on its key rate yesterday, as expected by most observers. Although the institution left the rate at 0.50%, it was acknowledged...

Loonie Weakness To Persist By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 09, 2015

A looser yuan peg and subsequent devaluation of other currencies in the emerging world took the trade-weighted USD to levels not seen in a dozen years. The dollar rally, though already extended,...

FX Daily Update   By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 09, 2015

Bank of Canada decision At 10 a.m. today, the BoC will announce its key rate decision. Although it is difficult to positively state that economic conditions have substantially improved in the...

Canada: Technically In Recession By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 08, 2015

The U.S. economy created 173,000 jobs in August, falling short of the 217,000 new jobs expected by the market. The number of full-time jobs in the U.S. now stands at over 122 million, an all-time...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 08, 2015

Canadian job data for August released on Friday took on a particular significance, as it was the first major indicator since the country officially entered a recession. The report revealed that 12,000...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 03, 2015

Wavering expectationsThe release of the Fed’s Beige Book yesterday has once again cast doubt on the organization’s willingness to deliver the highly anticipated key rate hike. The book...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 02, 2015

Uncertain times in CanadaNot surprisingly, Statistics Canada confirmed that the country was in a technical recession yesterday, meaning that all is not totally doom and gloom, particularly the gains...

Energy Is On The Rebound By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 01, 2015

After two bleak months, energy prices have finally changed course. WTI, diesel and Brent crude varied by 15%, 14% and 17% respectively in U.S. dollars in the final two trading days of last week...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 01, 2015

OPEC ready to negotiate on its own terms OPEC appears to have taken a page out of the playbook of central bank officials, who use their public statements to influence currency prices and interest...

Fed Stays Course By The National Bank of Canada - Aug 31, 2015

It's back to school and work for many Canadians and the least you could say is that markets already have a head start. Crude oil turned in another solid performance on Friday, revisiting the $45 range...

CAD: Rate Cut In The Cards? By The National Bank of Canada - Aug 27, 2015

Wall Street notched its biggest one-day gain in four years on Wednesday as investors set aside their fears about China to go bargain hunting for stocks. Bay Street followed suit, with the Canadian...

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