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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 21, 2015

Key Rate Decision in CanadaToday, we will be essentially focusing on the Bank of Canada’s Governor Stephen Poloz, who will announce at 10 a.m. the Bank’s key rate decision. Markets are not...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 20, 2015

Liberal majority governmentThe Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper have failed in their bid to win on an early election call. Justin Trudeau’s Liberals at last count had 184 seats and...

Weekly Energy By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 20, 2015

After posting one of their best performances of the year in the week of October 5, energy prices in U.S. dollars fell sharply over the following five days. WTI, Brent and diesel were down 4.4%, 3.7%...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 19, 2015

Sustained Growth in ChinaThe official data released by the National Bureau of Statistics last evening confirmed that the Chinese economy grew by 6.9% during Q3 of 2015. This exceeded market...

Greenback Under Pressure   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 15, 2015

Sceptics regarding a potential key rate increase south of the border got new arguments to bolster their case yesterday further to another month of disappointing Retail Sales numbers. Not only did the...

A Fed divided   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 14, 2015

It would appear that Fed Chair Janet Yellen will have her work cut out for her getting members onside for a potential rate increase. Yesterday, a second Fed voting member, Daniel Tarullo, echoed...

Weekly Economic Watch   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 14, 2015

The Weekly Economic Watch offers a commentary on developments in the economic environment as depicted by economic indicators released during the week and on indicators to be published in the upcoming...

Weekly Energy   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 14, 2015

After a five-week period of consolidation, energy prices finally broke through the upper bound of their trading range. Oil left a range of US$43 to US$48, even rising close to US$51/barrel. The price...

US, Canadian Minutes And Employment By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 13, 2015

The FOMC’s meeting minutes, released last week, contained more information on the Federal Reserve’s inaction in September. To no one’s surprise, the Fed’s decision to delay...

FX Daily Update By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 13, 2015

New signs of a slowdown in ChinaAlthough on Friday, we got confirmation from Statistics Canada that our economy added 12,000 jobs in September, it wasn’t enough to drive the loonie higher. Even...

International Markets Cause For Concern   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 08, 2015

The rise of crude oil prices lasted for four days. Higher reserve and production levels in the United States cooled the optimism of investors regarding an eventual drop in crude oil production. By the...

Crude Oil Prices Jump!   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 07, 2015

Crude oil prices spiked upwards yesterday. It was the fourth consecutive day they recorded gains, something of an achievement in these volatile energy markets. In New York, prices per barrel rose by...

Canada Enters Into The Trans-Pacific-Partnership   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 07, 2015

The impacts of the disappointing U.S. job report continue to make themselves felt within financial markets. Encouraged by speculation regarding the prolonged inaction from the U.S. Federal Reserve,...

Weekly Energy   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 06, 2015

Energy prices moved in a narrow range again last week, with returns on WTI, Brent and diesel of 0.5%, -0.5% and 0.2%, respectively. For a fifth consecutive week, WTI fluctuated within a range from...

Euro Loses Ground   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 01, 2015

Yesterday, we learned that Canada’s GDP grew 0.3% for July, confirming that the country is already out of recession! Obviously, this helped the loonie, which performed well against the greenback...

Canadian GDP Data This Morning!   By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 30, 2015

U.S. Consumer Confidence came in ahead of expectations yesterday, a fact that was well received by investors and helped inject a little green into our screens! Today is looking to be highly volatile...

Loonie Continues To Plummet By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 29, 2015

Yesterday was a particularly trying day on stock markets, with the S&P 500, NASDAQ and S&P/TSX Composite down by 2.6%, 3.0% and 2.8% respectively. Fears of a slowing economy in China and the...

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