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Danske Markets Danske Markets

Danske Markets's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Danske Markets, including current material.
Euroland: Higher Euro PMIs And German ZEW Expectations   By Danske Markets - Dec 17, 2014

Euro area flash PMIs increased in December and were slightly stronger than consensus expectations. The improvement in PMIs was broadly in line with our expectations and confirms our view that growth...

Danske Daily - 16 December 2014   By Danske Markets - Dec 16, 2014

Market movers today In the euro area we expect higher PMI figures, which would be in line with the increase in the business climate indicator. Current survey data indicate that Germany is regaining...

FX Forecast Update: 'It's The Oil, Stupid'   By Danske Markets - Dec 16, 2014

We lift our EUR/NOK forecasts higher as oil prices continue to collapse and the market is likely to price in two additional 25bp rate cuts from Norges Bank. We lift our USD/RUB forecasts...

Fixed Income Market Watch - Sweden   By Danske Markets - Dec 16, 2014

A quantitative run through of the Swedish Fixed Income market, starting with the Riksbank and Money Markets before moving on to government and mortgage bonds. To Read the Entire Report Please Click on...

How To Trade Our FX Top Trades 2015 Via Options   By Danske Markets - Dec 16, 2014

In this FX strategy document, we present our suggestions on how to trade the four FX Top Trades that we have entered so far in the FX option market. To sum up, we suggest the following option...

Moving Closer To The First Rate Hike   By Danske Markets - Dec 16, 2014

The FOMC meeting on 16-17 December is due to conclude with a policy statement and updated economic projections, followed by a 45-minute press conference. The FOMC is likely to revise down its...

Speculators Reduce Bullish USD Bets   By Danske Markets - Dec 15, 2014

The latest IMM data cover the week from 2 to 9 December 2014. • IMM data released last Friday revealed the largest single week EUR short covering since the start of September this year. The move...

Focus Will Be On Wednesday's FOMC Meeting   By Danske Markets - Dec 15, 2014

Market movers today Today focus will be on US data with the release of industrial production. We look for an increase in November after a correction in utility resulted in a weaker-than-expected...

Will The Riksbank Also Suprise In A Dovish Direction?   By Danske Markets - Dec 15, 2014

The main event in Sweden is the Riksbank's last monetary policy meeting of the year and the release of a new Monetary Update. The Riksbank is under pressure 'to do something'. The first line of...

Weekly Focus Sweden: Proactive Rate Cut From Norges Bank   By Danske Markets - Dec 14, 2014

Market movers ahead We expect the FOMC will replace 'considerable time' with 'patient' in their statement next week, but put a 20% probability on them waiting. In the euro area we look for higher...

Strategy: Correction Mode   By Danske Markets - Dec 12, 2014

Markets correct but it should be temporary. Short-term outlook for oil is weak. Lower oil price gives stronger baseline growth but higher tail risk. Euro area is bottoming, US looks...

China: Industrial Production Remains Weak   By Danske Markets - Dec 12, 2014

Growth in industrial production was weaker than expected in November where it eased to 7.2% y/y (consensus 7.5%, DBM 7.4%) from 7.7% in October. According to our calculations seasonally adjusted...

NOK Swap Curve To Steepen   By Danske Markets - Dec 12, 2014

Position for a steeper 5s10s curve in NOK swaps versus a flatter SEK swap curve Entry level: -10.25bp, target: +15bp, stop at -25bp, Carry & Roll: -1.5bp/3M NOK swap curve to steepen as Norges...

The Oil Price Plunge In Perspective   By Danske Markets - Dec 12, 2014

Yesterday the price of WTI crude dropped below the USD60/bl mark and the price of Brent crude below USD64/bl - the lowest level since mid-2009. Anecdotal evidence suggests that the present weakness...

Bank Of Russia: Shooting Into The Sky   By Danske Markets - Dec 12, 2014

Today on 11 December 2014 Russia's central bank hiked its key rate by 100bp to 10.50% as consumer prices continued to accelerate quickly to 9.4% y/y as of 8 December 2014. The hike was expected by the...

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