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Cumberland Advisors Cumberland Advisors

Cumberland Advisors's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Cumberland Advisors, including current material.
Election Update: Senator Volatility Wins By David Kotok - Nov 04, 2014

The winner of today’s election is volatility. In fact, “Senator Vol” had already won four months ago.Some quick bullets to consider: • US stock markets tend to rise after...

Time To Get Back Into EU Stocks? By Bill Witherell - Oct 30, 2014

The cover of the October 25 edition of The Economist depicts the Eurozone economy in the form of a parrot, lying on its back receiving fluid from an intravenous bottle with a euro insignia, and to the...

Anatomy Of A Misunderstanding By David Kotok - Oct 29, 2014

It’s Fed Day.  We will be focusing on the FOMC’s words at 2:15 this afternoon.Let’s flash back to last Fed day. When we write, we know what we mean to say. And when we read what...

Wage Garnishment And Bank Account Seizures By David Kotok - Oct 27, 2014

Labor income and labor force recovery is a constant discussion in the US. Investors dissect labor force data for clues to Federal Reserve (Fed) policy change. The Fed follows and publicizes numerous...

The Short Squeeze -- Ouch! By David Kotok - Oct 23, 2014 1

It now seems that last Wednesday’s Ebola-scare waterfall climaxed with the intra-day Dow down over 400 points and gapping down 10 points at a time. Bids were pulled as panicked sellers dumped...

Ebola, GDP & Markets By David Kotok - Oct 20, 2014

It is becoming clear that overcoming the challenges in the fight against Ebola is related to the size of an economy. The very poor countries face the greatest difficulty. The African countries hit...

Kotok On The Markets By David Kotok - Oct 15, 2014

More US Ebola news. A second worker is infected in Texas. Meanwhile, vaccine production for healthcare workers is now underway. Reports are that there will be 20,000 shots available by December 2014....

What’s In The Minutes? By David Kotok - Oct 13, 2014

Markets reacted positively to release of the latest FOMC minutes on Wednesday, erasing the previous day’s significant losses. However, that reaction was abruptly reversed on Thursday and Friday,...

Market Volatility On The Rise By David Kotok - Oct 06, 2014

An era is ending: for over half a decade, nearly worldwide, zero interest rates suppressed volatilities. That is over. The first sign of this evolution came over a year ago when the bond market...

US Stock Market 3Q Review: A Cautious Mood By David Kotok - Oct 05, 2014

The US stock market had rocky periods during the third quarter of 2014. There were concerns about rising geopolitical risk that impacted market sentiment. Those concerns triggered some abrupt, albeit...

Is Federal Reserve Forward Guidance Dead? By Bob Eisenbeis - Oct 01, 2014

In an attempt to deal with the fallout of the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve innovated a number of nonconventional monetary policy tools that included quantitative easing, interest on reserves,...

Economic Atonement By Peter Schiff - Sep 30, 2014

This Friday is Yom Kippur, the day when Jews around the world ask forgiveness for their transgressions from the year past. Rabbis remind the penitent to dwell on their sins of omission, in which they...

Schizophrenic Financial Markets & Policy By David Kotok - Sep 28, 2014

We will start this weekend missive with three serious quotes and references.  They are from thoughtful work by professional and personal friends.  And they offer diverse views. QUOTE #...

International Markets: Q3 Review By David Kotok - Sep 24, 2014

It was no mere lazy summer stroll through the international markets in 3rd Quarter 2014. In fact, the numbers tell a tale of two international markets: the best of markets and the worst of markets...

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