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Cumberland Advisors Cumberland Advisors

Cumberland Advisors's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Cumberland Advisors, including current material.
Stocks, Profits, GDP By David Kotok - May 11, 2015

So here we are.The GDP of the United States is approaching $18 trillion (17.8 is the most recent estimate, and that is before many forthcoming revisions). That estimate reflects the known effects from...

Markets Win In The UK Election By Bill Witherell - May 10, 2015

Prime Minister David Cameron led the Tory Party to a UK election victory that was a surprise to pollsters and most observers, including us. The Tory victory removes the risk of a period of policy...

Analyst Warns On Banks By David Kotok - May 07, 2015

Richard Bove is the bank equity analyst at Rafferty Capital Markets. He is a longtime friend and is as distinguished and seasoned a bank analyst as anyone I know.This morning, he put out a research...

The Dollar And US Stock Market Sectors By David Kotok - May 05, 2015

The co-author of our new book, From Bear to Bull with ETFs, second and revised edition, is Talley Léger. In his most recent MVR Portfolio Strategy missive, Talley asked a critical question:Why...

Ethanol In The Blogosphere By David Kotok - Apr 29, 2015

Most readers, but not all, agreed with our view. There were three detractors and over a hundred supporters. “I would hope that your market analysis is more accurately researched than your...

Non-Ethanol Fuel By David Kotok - Apr 22, 2015 2

I stopped at a local Sarasota Sunoco gas station yesterday to fill up my car. A sign read “Non-ethanol fuel for sale here.” The pump was off to one side and did not have an automated...

A Strong Dollar May Not Be As Bad As Feared By David Kotok - Apr 19, 2015

Pundits and journalists keep referencing the supposed negative effects that the recent surge in the dollar may be having on the US real economy and economic growth. The concentration is on the Energy...

Australia And The J-Curve By Bill Witherell - Apr 15, 2015

Australia is another country that has experienced a substantial depreciation of its currency in recent months. The Australian dollar (AUD) has declined more than 22% versus the US dollar over the past...

Kotok On Oil-Patch Stocks By David Kotok - Apr 09, 2015

Cumberland Advisors remains at maximum underweight in the Energy sector in its US exchange-traded fund (ETF) strategy. We believe the risk of oil pricing is to the downside. We believe the risk to the...

International Markets: A Look Back At Q1 By Michael McNiven - Apr 08, 2015

The first quarter of 2015 was a turning point for international markets versus the US market. Investors not inclined to look internationally missed out on an impressive opportunity. The main story is...

Forward Guidance: The Way It Should Be By Bob Eisenbeis - Apr 07, 2015

In previous commentaries I argued that when the FOMC morphed the time reference “considerable time” in its policy statement to the word “patient” and subsequently to words that...

Heterogeneous Central Banks And Markets By David Kotok - Apr 07, 2015

“From a rates perspective, monetary policy uncertainty has a significant impact on the front end of the yield curve. That is why front end vol is at taper tantrum levels. The long end, on the...

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