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Cumberland Advisors Cumberland Advisors

Cumberland Advisors's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Cumberland Advisors, including current material.
ECB, Euro, USD, Interest Rates By David Kotok - Jan 25, 2015

After a two-and-a-half-year wait for “whatever it takes,” the quantitative easing (QE) announced this week by the European Central Bank (ECB) is different from the QE undertaken by the...

Lessons On Forward Guidance By Bob Eisenbeis - Jan 22, 2015

Events of the last week, including today at the ECB, should provide valuable lessons for the Federal Reserve as it formulates an exit strategy from its accommodative monetary policy. During the...

US Dollar Strength And US Stocks By David Kotok - Jan 20, 2015

“What does U.S. dollar strength mean for U.S. stocks? When companies become large and global, with sales sourced from a broad swath of countries and currencies, they develop natural portfolio...

Switzerland: We've Got A Debt Problem By David Kotok - Jan 16, 2015 4

In the wake of Switzerland’s removing the cap on the Swiss franc’s value against the euro, debt owed by non-Swiss agents has become an emerging issue. That debt, denominated in either...

Switzerland And Interest Rates By David Kotok - Jan 15, 2015

Switzerland’s abrupt removal of the cap on the Swiss franc’s value against the euro does nothing to alter our outlook for both US interest rates and US stock markets. Subsequent...

What's The Global Bond Investor To Do? By David Kotok - Jan 13, 2015

What if the Fed doesn’t raise rates at all this year? There’s certainly a good amount of volatility possible with the ECB meeting Jan 22, the Greek election Jan 25, and the FOMC...

Europe Outside The Eurozone: The UK By Bill Witherell - Jan 11, 2015

While the market is focusing on the prospects for full-scale quantitative easing in the Eurozone and the continued decline of the euro, there are major European equity markets that do not have the...

Oil, The Markets, And Volatility By David Kotok - Jan 07, 2015

Sharply lower oil prices have occasioned a huge discussion about their impact. We see it play out daily in newspapers, on TV and radio, at websites, on blogs, and in market letters. The range of...

MLPs At Year’s End By Cumberland Advisors - Dec 30, 2014

The main story for MLPs for the fourth quarter was a three-letter word: Oil. Petroleum prices are now down almost 50% from their peak six months ago. That drop has impacted MLP valuations, which do...

Europe's Oil: The Good And Bad By David Kotok - Dec 29, 2014 1

Less than two months ago, Oxford Economics modeled sensitivity to the oil price by conducting simulations on 47 countries. Their baseline then was an “$84 Brent crude price average in...

Reworking Our Healthcare ETFs By David Kotok - Dec 26, 2014

My colleague Matthew McAleer and I have examined a transaction that may have altered the valuations of some of our health-care positions.AbbVie Inc. launched a new drug to treat hepatitis C. The other...

Taxable Fixed Income: A Year In Review By Cumberland Advisors - Dec 24, 2014

Taxable fixed-income markets continued to perform well for the last quarter of 2014. If one thing remained consistent throughout the year, it was the duration of the unexpected fixed-income rallies....

U.S. Markets At Year’s End By David Kotok - Dec 23, 2014

U.S. markets hit successive new highs in 2014. The economic recovery seems to stay on track while gradually improving and increasing its rate of growth. Labor-force-related problems seem to be healing...

Comex InitiatesTrading Collars By David Kotok - Dec 21, 2014

“Comex Institutes Trading Collars for Precious Metals”The article linked above was forwarded to me by Jim Roemer, a commodities ETF subadvisor to Cumberland. I asked Jim if he saw any...

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