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USD/TRY - US Dollar Turkish Lira

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32.5022 +0.1206    +0.37%
11:59:15 - Real-time Data. ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Currency
Group:  Exotic
Base:  US Dollar
Second:  Turkish Lira
  • Prev. Close: 32.3816
  • Bid/Ask: 32.5002 / 32.5042
  • Day's Range: 32.3975 - 32.5410
USD/TRY 32.5022 +0.1206 +0.37%

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Dwain Hobbs
Dwain Hobbs 9 hours ago
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The current account has been improving over the last 6 months, but it's not enough to stabilise the lira yet,, they need to take brave actions like taxing non-essential imports heavily ( forget WTO rules, save your economy),,give better incentives to exporters to convert their fx into Liras,, they also need to be innovative,, encourage things like 1 day a week no driving / cycling etc. that will save alot of fuel ( being the largest import and drain on forex ) whilst improving the environment etc. Inject more money on the now struggling tourism sectors,,, But knowing politicians are just lazy and love anything that brings them tax and duties they will take all ideas like this and straight to the rubbish bin,,
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Dwain Hobbs
Dwain Hobbs 9 hours ago
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One other EXTREMELY important financial point , the central bank should work to bring spreads on usdtry lower again,,, they were foolish by thinking high spreads will discourage trading and hence volatility, that just stopped people / companies buying liras altogether and slept on dollars,,, many Turkish citizens ( and companies ) used to trade in usdtry when spreads were lower, that helped usdtry go down as well as up,,, now its just STRAIGHT UP,,, the most stable currencies in the wolrd are the ones that are most liquid, and to be more liquid you need lower spreads,,, I'm giving these govt officials free and useful advise, but as I said above, i think i know where it will end up !
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Amin Lakhani
Amin Lakhani Apr 16, 2024 11:21PM ET
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Turkey should ban foreign currency & USD & Euro acc for Turkish nationals.
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Dwain Hobbs
Dwain Hobbs Apr 16, 2024 11:21PM ET
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That will make things worse as money will flee out of the banking system and country ,, they should just resort to normal policies and stop making things complicated ,, Turkey is a very bizarre country , a foreigner can own multiple properties in Turkey yet not be able to setup any phone line in their property due to being a foreigner ,, a new mobile phone in Turkey can buy you a decent mercedes car in western europe or the US , and a soviet era car in Turkey sells for silly money ,, clearly a lot of things needs to be normalised not just the financial system ..
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Marian San
Marian San 20 hours ago
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Nice to have you back,...👍
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Marian San
Marian San 20 hours ago
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So what do you expect might probably happen?
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Dwain Hobbs
Dwain Hobbs 10 hours ago
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Thanks Marian, well they have 2 options, continue the slow exiting from the KKM scheme which drains fx reserves from the TCB, makes usd/try continue higher ( say to 40 by year end ), but volatility remains low and everything hopefully stable,, or take the pill and close the scheme outright, usdtry will make an immediate jump to 40, and big volatility kicks in ,, but things will stabilise and lira will recover afterwards and a big hole in the TCB coffers will get closed,, and they will also be able to drop interest rates from the sky high levels of 50%,,,,,,,, the 1st option seems the more safer bet ( for them ), but i personally would go for option 2 as in Turkey nothings stays the same or stable for a long time so you cannot trust if volatility goes higher anyway and the TCB loses control of things. Anyway its best to wait for inflation data past May, if inflation starts dropping the TCB may get a lucky escape and their plans work , but that also relies on Turkish people helping them by switching to Liras and stop hoarding dollars,, that's a difficult ask as I think Turkish pople are generally tough minded, they enjoy fighting their government more than helping it achieve something beneficial !
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Marian San
Marian San 8 hours ago
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Thanks a lot,,your review always make sense to me...🙏
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Dwain Hobbs
Dwain Hobbs Apr 16, 2024 9:28AM ET
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Turkish Central bank posted a $25b loss in 2023 due to the KKM account protection,, compared with a profit of around $5b in 2022 that's a $30b worse off situation,, this crazy schemed could not stop the lira dropping from 9 to 32.50, and inflation sits at 68% and the economy is worse off,, and they still have around $70b in the scheme that they need to protect against lira dropping,, I have no idea how these people get paid to come up with ideas like this,, I mean if they have done absolutely nothing that December and just watched the lira melt to 18, or even just raised rates gradually back then, it would have certainly been much better situation than now. It also seems to me that (even with 50% rates) Turkish people do not have trust of their in their own currency, yet they want investors to pour money into the country , which is a totally contradictory stance.
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Dwain Hobbs
Dwain Hobbs Apr 16, 2024 9:28AM ET
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p.s. there was a genius in this form who thinks that the KKM accounts were totally neutral for the central bank and had no financial costs,, i hope the numbers of today bring him / her to reality.. there is no such thing as free lunch..
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Investing Whore
Investing Whore Apr 11, 2024 1:36PM ET
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And this country is going to world bank and imf to borrow money on April 16th, no one is telling you this… IMF will not give a dime, but world bank can… Extremely cheap, until they leave the trade alone…
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San Marina
San Marina Apr 10, 2024 6:36AM ET
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This was 8 just 3 years ago. Poverty percentage in Turkey increases by 2 every year recently. This is disaster for any nation. Keep buying this and you will get rich.
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Servenkeloc fhvcd
Servenkeloc fhvcd Apr 10, 2024 6:36AM ET
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disagree and I don't expect more upside
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aas aas
aas aas Apr 10, 2024 6:36AM ET
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I live in Turkey and am Turkish and I short TRY with borrowed money. could tell you as much.
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San Marina
San Marina Apr 10, 2024 6:36AM ET
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aas aasI remember one Turkish person here disagreed with me when it was at 13 or 14 (dont remmber exactly), and I kept saying the same “keep buying”. But good luck
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hen ryu
hen ryu Apr 08, 2024 4:06PM ET
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wow never correction... to 10 lira
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Stefan Beck
Stefan Beck Apr 08, 2024 4:06PM ET
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of course not, would be funny math if this would happen :-). trading is about knowledge and experience. when alone the rollover swap in 2024 will bring usdtry around 10,0 higher in one year, how can lira end to 10? this would need a strong economy and solved inflation and decades.
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Professional Trader
Professional Trader Apr 05, 2024 6:32AM ET
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damn the swaps on this lol. I opened on a demo account of my broke both a buy and sell of 0.01 on March 21. Now April 5 on the Short USD/TRY : Its in loss of 2.16 but positive swap of 12.69!!! On the Buy its profit of 0.27 but negative swap of 23.83! lol I think going short here and collecting swaps is profitable... but damn the interest rate is so high now in turkey it cannot stay like this. Inflation will drop eventually and these swaps not seen again.
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Alzaamil Rasheed
ALZAR Apr 05, 2024 6:32AM ET
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Blindly increasing interest rates won't stop inflation it will increase inflation because this level is too high. Credit card users suffer companies suffer . The cost is past on to the end user. They are basically living on loans the minimum wage hikes are only on paper
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Servenkeloc fhvcd
Servenkeloc fhvcd Apr 02, 2024 9:09AM ET
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we are falling sell with SL 32.70 Tp 30.70
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Tarim Engin
Tarim Engin Apr 02, 2024 7:13AM ET
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This government is manipulating inflation figures so that pensions are lower than the minimum wage, which has catastrophic effects on all prices. Everything you buy today will be more expensive next week
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Dwain Hobbs
Dwain Hobbs Apr 01, 2024 9:00AM ET
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Of all the days it decided to go red it chose April’s fools day lol .. you have to get magnifying glasses to find any red candles in the daily / weekly / monthly charts
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