Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Here we go again. After plunging to new lows, the calls for the end of the “bond bull” market mount each time rates rise. Is this time the end of the “bond bull?” Or, is there...

Orders for the first issue of EU bonds to fund its Support to Mitigate Unemployment Risks in an Emergency (SURE) program smashed bond market records as investors sought €233 billion in bonds...

Shares and bonds in emerging markets, along with high-yield bonds ex-US, led returns for the major asset classes last week, based on a set of ETFs. Buoyed by a weak US Dollar index, which is close to...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:Large bond speculators decreased their bullish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

Betting against long-term bonds has been a losing strategy for several decades and this form of contrarian pain has been especially deep in the past two years. It’s debatable if it’s...

More than a year ago I reviewed Mr. Market’s offerings for yield-hungry investors and the results were meager, at least in comparison with historical payouts. How does the search-and-explore...

The Fed I: Birth of T-Fed. What a difference a pandemic makes. Prior to the Great Virus Crisis (GVC), Fed officials were either dismissive of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) or remained silent on the...

What a difference a decade makes. Portuguese government 10-year bonds are heading for a yield of 0%, compared to 16% at the height of the eurozone debt crisis in 2012 and 4% as recently as...

Are government bonds creating a peak and starting to roll over? Possible! What happens at the support test (2) will go a long way to answering this question. This chart looks at Government Bond ETF...

It doesn’t take much to set reflation expectations on fire these days. With US interest rates near zero (or negative in some parts of the world), a mild uptick in yields inspires a new round of...

Treasury investors have been bombarded with an array of concerning news over the past few days, but yields surged on Monday as optimism grew with reports that President Donald Trump would leave the...

Sam LaDuc over at Samantha LaDuc trading out of the Boston area, published this missive on Election Risks and Opportunities over the weekend that is worth the read. Agree with Sam on Financials, not...

The ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (NYSE:TBT) is extending last week’s trend line break. The index has been trading in a narrow range since early August after lifting off major support...

Are interest rates attempting to create a long-term bottoming pattern over the last  six months? Possible! This chart looks at the yield on the 10-year note, on a quarterly basis since the...