Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Gilts opened lower but above Monday's low of 109.23 to beat 109.48 and reach resistance at 109.63/65. We topped exactly here but if we continue higher today, look for 109.75/76 and the 200 day moving...

Bund hit our buying opportunity at 143.12/09 and bottomed exactly here but a break of this week's low at 143.02 keeps the market under pressure for the next buying opportunity at 142.88/85.If we can...

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond held Monday's range after a directionless March. 200 day moving average and 38.2% Fibonacci resistance at 129.91/96 should be a tough challenge, but above 130.05 can...

The tax-free municipal bond market had a very good first quarter of the year as many intermediate- and longer-term bonds rallied back from their beat-up levels of 2013.Part of this rally was reversion...

Schatz failed to beat 110.46 on the open and collapsed to our buying opportunity at 110.41/40 but continued lower to 110.38. Immediate resistance at 110.43 today then 110.46 but above 110.47 can...

Gilts headed lower than expected to 109.23 but closed almost unchanged. Immediate resistance at 109.63/65 then 109.75/76 and the 200 day moving average at 109.85/88. We should struggle here but if we...

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond opened below 129.90 unexpectedly heading lower than expected to bottom at 129.52. Immediate resistance at 129.95/130.00 should be a tough challenge, but above here a...

Bund broke 143.61/60 sinking all the way to our buying opportunity at 143.12/09 but over running a little to 143.02. This trade worked perfectly as we rocketed then to Friday's low at 143.42 and if we...

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond retested strong resistance at 130.40/43 for a second selling opportunity and topped exactly here. Again this trade worked perfectly as we sold off towards support at...

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report Large Speculators bearish positions rise to a total of -61,765 contracts 10 Year Treasuries: Large futures market traders slightly increased their overall bearish...

Here’s the last word on iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treasury (ARCA:TLT) vs. ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (ARCA:TBT) (20 year treasuries vs its ultra inverse).  Despite all...

2013 wasn't kind to the bond market -- one of the worst years in a long, long time. The decline in bond prices drove iShares Barclays 20+ Yr. Treasury (ARCA:TLT) down to its 38% Fibonacci retracement...

There is a lot of talk now about the yield curve flattening. A flattening curve is commonly viewed as bad for gold, and according to Mark Hulbert, in Why you should care about the yield curve, is...

The five-year treasury yield hit a multi-year high relative to the average of the two- and the ten-year rates (the 5-year treasury is cheap on a relative basis). The chart below shows a measure of how...