Bonds Analysis & Opinion

A quantitative run through of the Swedish fixed income market, starting with the Riksbank and money markets before moving on to government and mortgage bonds. To Read the Entire Report Please Click on...

Treasury prices have been steadily declining ever since Yellen's gaffe where she unwittingly suggest that higher interest rates will come sooner than when market expected. She has since tried to...

June 14 resistance at 9969, 9972/73, 9976(March Highs), contract highs at 9979/80. Support at 9966/65(January low), 9964 (December low), 9959/58 (October low).Sept 14 resistance at 9969, 9971/72...

Gilts gapped lower breaking 109.28/23 but bounced just 4 ticks above the 100 day moving average and last week's low at 109.08/06. We are oversold short term but meet resistance at 109.39/41. A break...

Bund held 143.27/26 on the topside to hit our buying opportunity at 142.88/85 but we ran over to 142.72. We are oversold short term so a recovery is possible to 143.00/05 today. We should struggle...

Bobl opened below 125.31/33 to hit our lower target of 125.05/02 and bottomed exactly here. We meet resistance at 125.19 with a high for the day possible but above here a selling opportunity at...

The tap auction in the June 2017 bond takes place this week (SGBi3107). We were a bit surprised that the Debt Office decided to tap this bond, as the volume in the new 10Y bond (June 2025) is still...

Gilts opened lower but above Monday's low of 109.23 to beat 109.48 and reach resistance at 109.63/65. We topped exactly here but if we continue higher today, look for 109.75/76 and the 200 day moving...

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond held Monday's range after a directionless March. 200 day moving average and 38.2% Fibonacci resistance at 129.91/96 should be a tough challenge, but above 130.05 can...

The tax-free municipal bond market had a very good first quarter of the year as many intermediate- and longer-term bonds rallied back from their beat-up levels of 2013.Part of this rally was reversion...

Schatz failed to beat 110.46 on the open and collapsed to our buying opportunity at 110.41/40 but continued lower to 110.38. Immediate resistance at 110.43 today then 110.46 but above 110.47 can...

Gilts headed lower than expected to 109.23 but closed almost unchanged. Immediate resistance at 109.63/65 then 109.75/76 and the 200 day moving average at 109.85/88. We should struggle here but if we...

June 14 resistance at 9969, 9972/73, 9976(March Highs), contract highs at 9979/80. Support at 9966/65(January low), 9964 (December low), 9959/58 (October low).Sept 14 resistance at 9969, 9971/72...

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond opened below 129.90 unexpectedly heading lower than expected to bottom at 129.52. Immediate resistance at 129.95/130.00 should be a tough challenge, but above here a...