Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Bund held support at 143.40/35 and recovered as predicted as far as 144.05/10 for our selling opportunity. We topped almost exactly here and should struggle here again today. However, be aware that a...

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report 10 Year Treasuries: Large futures market traders increased their overall bearish positions in the 10-year treasury note futures for a third straight week last week,...

Thanks to fears over the taper’s impact on the bond markets, interest rates were slowing rising going into 2014. In fact, rates on the benchmark 10-year government bond hit 3% to start the year,...

Marketwatch.com noted earlier this week that “bonds are suddenly the hot investment.” Barron’s offered a similar analysis a few days earlier: “Bond prices have surged so far...

Bobl unexpectedly spiked higher beating 126.90 but topped at 126.99 leaving quite a negative candle and an indication that we have topped. Immediate support is 126.65 but below 126.60 is more negative...

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond held October highs and strong weekly Fibonacci resistance at 131.76/81 again yesterday and as expected headed lower through 131.60 to support at 131.21/16 which just...

Gilts unexpectedly spiked higher, to beat the 6 month trend line and Fibonacci resistance at 110.85/90. We topped at 111.09 but quickly fell back to leave a negative candle and a good indication that...

Even though equity markets have struggled to start the year, it should be comforting to note that credit markets have remained relatively calm. Credit spreads are one of the best ways to measure...

Happy Groundhogs Day Everyone? In the classic movie, Bill Murray keeps experiencing the same day over and over again. Yields have hit the top of this falling resistance line and declined several times...

10 Year Treasuries: Large futures market traders sharply added to their overall bearish positions in the 10-year treasury note futures last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT)...

Three weeks ago I took a trade in the Municipal Bond ETF (MUB) based on this technical review: Municipals Are Interesting For a Trade. It turned out to be a great trade but shook me out on a stop last...

Buy bonds.That seemed to be the thrust of the 2014 Barron’s Roundtable.  After a year that was brutal for all income-oriented investments, the panelists on Barron’s annual...

If the yield on the 5-yr. and 10-yr. Treasury keeps going lower -- and they want to call a bottom and reversal -- technically, this would be a good place for it. The chart of the 5-yr. yield below...