Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Schatz resistance at 110.62/63 today then a selling opportunity at 100.65/66 with a negative double top expected.Immediate support is 110.57/56 but below 110.54 today risks a retest of good support at...

Bobl managed to retest the 126.96/99 February highs, and then pull back sharply. This has left a negative double top pattern and could lead to a test of support at 126.65. Below 126.60 then sees this...

Bund managed a break higher to 144.29. Immediate resistance at 144.00/02 but above here we could retest 144.29. A break higher today is certainly possible and should target the 144.55/57 February...

Gilts got very close to our target of 110.70 and topped at 110.66. We backed away quite sharply but met support at 110.01/98 which should hold the downside today. However, if we continue lower look...

It is time for the first tap auction in the SGBi3109 since it was introduced a few weeks ago. Swedish BEIs have been trading higher than European peers (Germany) but after the CPI data release...

How does the old saying go; 'Don't judge a book by its cover'? These patterns reflect that the 10-year yield and Commodities Index (CRB) are both pushing a little higher, above resistance lines. Does...

Talking Points US Net Long-term TIC Flows (DEC) (prior rev. -$28.0) (survey $30.0B) ACTUAL: -$45.9B US Total Net TIC Flows (DEC) (prior rev. -$13B) ACTUAL: -$119.6B Data indicates some of the weakest...

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report Large Speculators positions continue to be at most bearish level since December 31st 10-Year Treasuries: Large futures market traders added to their overall bearish...

Bund held resistance at 143.65/70 then 144.05/10 for a selling opportunity. However, be aware that a break above 144.20 cannot beruled out and targets 144.30, possibly even a retest of 144.54/58 highs...

Bobl immediate resistance at 126.65, but above here could retest 126.84. We should struggle here but a retest of 126.94/98 highsshould be seen as an excellent selling opportunity as the daily chart...

Schatz held strong resistance at 110.59/60. Above 110.63 offers a selling opportunity at 100.65/66 with a negative double topexpected.Immediate support is 110.56 but below 110.54 today risks a retest...

Gilts dipped back to the neck line at 109.95/90 as predicted and bottomed exactly here. Next confirmation of the bearish patternis a break below here and sees 109.69, 109.36 then 109.15 but be aware...

March 14 resistance at 9971/72, 9974, 9976/77, 9979, Nov/Apr/May highs of 9982/83. Support at 9966/65, 9963, 9960.June 14 resistance at 9975, contract highs at 9978/79. Support at 9973, 9971/70,...

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond broke good support at 130.68/58 and should now target 130.35 as the outlook becomesmore negative. If this does not hold the downside look for a buying opportunity at...