Bonds Analysis & Opinion

U.S. 10-Year T-Note rates have reached the point in their almost 3-decade price channel (gray on chart) where they have to be at least half way through a long-term bottoming formation.The formation...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note: CFTC Futures data shows speculators pushed bearish bets to highest level in 4 yearsU.S. 10-Year Treasuries: Large 10-Year Note futures...

Quantitative Easing is over, the last FOMC meeting of the year is behind us and Christmas is just around the corner. Let's take a quick look at what's been happening for US Treasuries. The yields on...

One year ago this week, the Power of the Pattern suggested interest rates were due for a BIG CHANGE and readers purchased iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury (ARCA:TLT). Patterns suggested an interest...

If one likes the idea of buying low and selling higher, junk bonds might come to mind due to how hard they've been hit of late! The chart below highlights that an unusual and large performance spread...

As we cruise into the last two weeks of the year, it is instructive to note the sea change in the municipal-bond market in 2014. The beginning of 2014 saw long tax-free bonds of the highest grade at...

Of course, debt defaults are likely to occur among oil producers. But I doubt they will trigger a financial crisis comparable to what happened in 2008 and 2009. Most of their junk bonds are in bond...

We're now six weeks beyond the end of the Fed's latest round of Quantitative Easing. With QE in the past and the Federal Open Market Committee taking center stage on Wednesday, let's take a quick look...

The Bond Market Bubble is Reaching Epic ProportionsThe US 10 Year T-Note now has a Yield of 2.08% right before the all-important Fed Quarterly Meeting and Press Conference this Wednesday, the 10-Year...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators continued to push bearish bets higher10 Year Treasuries: Large U.S. 10-Year futures traders...

The Treasury market’s implied inflation forecast continues to fade, dipping to 1.70% Thursday (Dec. 11) — close to a four-year low, based on the yield spread for the nominal 10-year Note...

There’s no trading set-up I like more than a fake head and shoulders, and the 10-Year t-note just put a potential fake head and shoulders on its 5-minute chart.The tell will be if the bounce off...

New all time highs for the German 10-Year bond (“Bund”). The Bund is regarded as safe-have in the European bond markets universe and is the main interest-rate benchmark for the whole...

The 10-Year T-Note has already met all requirements for the retrace from the October 15 high.Longer-term, there are two formations on the chart that suggest ZN will take out the October 15 high. But...