Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Treasury prices were rejected from technical resistance @ 131 on Friday. Holding above 129,50 keeps the bullish scenario intact. The Fed is not in a hurry to increase interest rates as long as oil...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators eased their bearish bets for 2nd week10 Year Treasuries: Large US 10 Year T-Note futures traders...

If it’s true, I’d say bonds are (finally) positioned for a meaningful, sustained fall. I am particularly interested in the similarity of price action vis-a-vis the long-term Fibonacci fan...

The U.S. 30-Year Treasury auction today is likely to price the bonds around 2.50%. During the auction on November 13, 2014, the yield was 3.09%. The price of these bonds is up roughly 10% since then. ...

As stocks hit a fresh record high relative to bond yields -- measured by the S&P 500/U.S. 10-Year yield ratio at 1081--the contrast between these two markets becomes palpable and the remaining...

What if the Fed doesn’t raise rates at all this year? There’s certainly a good amount of volatility possible with the ECB meeting Jan 22, the Greek election Jan 25, and the FOMC...

U.S. 30-Year yields could be at a triple bottom and the 10-year yield could be making a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern creating bullish wicks at the right shoulder. Seem unlikely? I get...

Global government bond yields tumbled to fresh lows on Tuesday as deflation fears boosted demand for haven assets.The yield on the U.S. 10-Year Treasury note fell below 2% for the first time since...

Call this the market that simply will not die. As mentioned in some previous posts, just about the time one thinks that this market is finally ready to turn lower, marking the onset of the end of the...

In the eurozone, manufacturing PMI reports last week were for the most part disappointing, as Italian manufacturing contraction unexpectedly accelerated (PMI ), while the French manufacturing sector...

iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury ETF (ARCA:TLT), a fund that tracks 20+ year Treasury bonds, closed last week with a strong up day that tested a key resistance level. The chart below illustrates: If...

The German 10-Year bond is marking new all-time highs. The yield is down to a historic low of 0,60% as dovish ECB rhetoric on interest rates and slow economic growth in the Eurozone area create...

Recently I've written about the head-scratching, never-ending, multi-decade decline in long-term interest rates (see chart below). Who cares? Well, just about anybody if you bear in mind the way...

Taxable fixed-income markets continued to perform well for the last quarter of 2014. If one thing remained consistent throughout the year, it was the duration of the unexpected fixed-income rallies....