ING Economic and Financial Analysis

Markets have been trading in a fairly choppy manner, while sentiment remains relatively negative for risk assets. Participants will be focused on the Fed meeting later this week and expectations in...

The Swedish Riksbank today kicks off a busy week of central bank policy meetings, which should see chunky 75bp hikes in many countries. Central bankers pressing more firmly on the monetary brakes will...

July industrial production fell by 2.3%, reversing gains made in May and June. While Irish volatility plays a large part in recent swings, we expect manufacturing weakness to continue over the second...

Sentiment in the oil market remains fairly negative due to continued concerns over Chinese demandEnergy: China Demand DropDespite concerns over demand, the oil market is holding up relatively well. In...

A fresh serving of US data should keep the market's expectations hawkish. The move in the interest rate differential plays in the dollar's favour and reduces the room for a recovery in the euro. The...

A higher than expected CPI reading out of the US put downward pressure on most assets yesterday, including commodities. The above-consensus number will only add to speculation of the need for more...

Higher than expected US inflation has seen an extra 25bp added to expectations of the Fed tightening cycle, yield curves invert further, equities fall sharply and the dollar surge. The spectre of the...

The number of workers classified as long-term sick has jumped dramatically in the past couple of months, and that's one reason why firms are still struggling to source the staff they need. While...

Energy: Oil BouncesThe retreat in the US Dollar has provided a boost to oil prices, with ICE Brent briefly trading back above US$95/bbl at one stage yesterday. Despite this rebound, there are still...

The dollar correction may extend a little further today as slowing U.S. CPI could help risk sentiment further. However, Fed rate expectations should not be affected, and optimism about the Ukraine...

The absence of a post-bank holiday rebound means July's GDP grew by only 0.2%, and we should expect further volatility over the next few months. But big picture, the announcement of an energy price...

The hefty falls in equity markets through the first half 2022 have put quite a dent in household wealth, but we have to remember strong gains over the past two years means it is still up $27tn on...

It has taken some time, but money markets now price the Fed policy rate at 4% for next spring. A speech by the Fed's Christopher Waller on Friday re-iterated that a 4% Fed funds rate would be seen...

The broader strength seen in the U.S. Dollar has weighed heavily on the commodities complex, whilst Chinese demand concerns are certainly not helping. For oil, we will need to keep an eye on OPEC+ and...

The Ethereum blockchain is on the verge of a major and risky upgrade. This upgrade, if successful, would greatly reduce electricity use. This, in turn, would increase Ethereum’s acceptability to...

Oil prices came under further pressure yesterday, despite OPEC+ agreeing on a small supply cut for October. Meanwhile, supply disruption in the metals market continues to grow, with further aluminium...