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Cumberland Advisors Cumberland Advisors

Cumberland Advisors's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Cumberland Advisors, including current material.
Inflation And Stocks By David Kotok - May 26, 2013

Inflation is not on the radar anymore. We do hear occasional comments from central bankers who warn about future inflation arising from QE. We also recall a few statements in the media along the lines...

Central Banks, Milan, Tuscany By David Kotok - May 13, 2013

It is a fascinating time to discuss key aspects of the global economy that are rapidly changing. In Japan, a hugely stimulative new policy is influencing the foreign-exchange markets and the Japanese...

Understanding The Stock Market: Part 2 By David Kotok - May 12, 2013

We thank readers for their emails in response to "Understanding the Stock Market." Predictions of future market prices ranged from a low of 450 on the S&P 500 index to a high of over 3000. Timing...

The Fed's Point Of No Return By Bob Eisenbeis - May 06, 2013

An astute reader and some-time fishing partner raised an interesting issue in connection with a recent commentary. That commentary focused on the problems the Fed faces in designing an exit strategy...

Federal Deficit And The Markets By David Kotok - May 06, 2013

We started to think about what the implications might be for Treasury bond pricing in the present market environment. We have not seen this type of Treasury paydown since 2Q 2009. We still have the...

Italy’s Equity Market Turning The Corner By Cumberland Advisors - May 05, 2013

After two months of stalemate following what markets considered very disturbing election results, Italy has a new government, one that is considerably better for the country and the economy than many...

Jobs Report: Surprisingly Positive By David Kotok - May 05, 2013

Today’s employment report is surprisingly positive. Many elements indicate a little stronger economic growth than the previous baseline projections. Revisions were positive. The details are...

When Will The Fed Act And What Will It Do? By Bob Eisenbeis - May 02, 2013

The short answer is that it will do nothing today. But that hasn’t deterred pundits from speculating. What we know is that the FOMC, as a policy-making body, has been fairly clear that its main...

After A Week Of Pain, What's Next? By David Kotok - Apr 29, 2013

Last week, the public was enraged by the needless disruption in air traffic. People created websites, made calls and sent email to Congress and the White House, and launched an attack on Democrats and...

Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste By Bob Eisenbeis - Apr 28, 2013

In the spirit of Rahm Emanuel, who famously said, “You never let a serious crisis go to waste,” it is time to get ready for the next shoe to drop in the sequestration soap opera. Having...

Gold: Still A Long-Term Investment By David Kotok - Apr 21, 2013

Gold made the headlines with a rapid plunge, some possible basing, and then another plunge. Let’s talk about gold for a minute. Central bankers prefer to have the public, the investor class,...

Some Concerns About Today's Markets By David Kotok - Apr 17, 2013

We still hold some cash reserve in our US ETF accounts. Of course, that could change at any time. There are a number of world events that concern us. Markets seem complacent about them. BIRD FLU. Note...

Bail-In vs. Bailout By David Kotok - Apr 09, 2013

In the aftermath of the bungled Cyprus affair, we are now observing a major transition underway with regard to bank-deposit safety. In the Eurozone and in Europe generally, the sacredness of an...

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