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Cumberland Advisors Cumberland Advisors

Cumberland Advisors's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Cumberland Advisors, including current material.
Is The Job Market Stable? By Bob Eisenbeis - Apr 07, 2013

FOMC policy makers have emphatically stated that they will maintain an accommodative monetary policy until the unemployment rate reaches 6.5%. However, in recent speeches and testimony, Chairman...

Has EU Solved The Capital Adequacy Problem? By David Kotok - Mar 28, 2013

Among all the negative consequences of the Cyprus banking crisis and the disastrous way that policy was framed, there is a silver lining to the problem. That is: the Europeans may have inadvertently...

Dissecting The Fed's New Policy By David Kotok - Mar 21, 2013

While much has been written about Wednesday’s FOMC decision and Chairman Bernanke’s press conference, some important points have been missed that may shed new light on the state of the...

Report From Paris: Watch Your EU Exposure By David Kotok - Mar 20, 2013

Just 20 months ago the three largest banks in Cyprus passed the European ‘stress tests’ with flying colors, reports Ron DeLegge of ETFguide. The latest estimates are 16 billion euros...

Report From Paris By David Kotok - Mar 18, 2013

Several world travelers are sitting at lunch in Paris, immersed in speculation. Greek banks in Cyprus were ring-fenced. Cypriot banks were not.Why?Enmity At WorkIf Greek banks with branches in Cyprus...

Cypriot Banks By David Kotok - Mar 17, 2013

The madness of this decision about Cyprus is unfathomable. Readers can check the news flow for details. Essentially, the European finance leadership has confiscated depositor funds in order to bail...

Raising Cash By David Kotok - Mar 15, 2013

A cash reserve has been raised in our U.S. ETF accounts. A partial cash reserve has been raised in non-U.S. ETF accounts. Our clients will see them in the online-access versions of their account...

Are There Opportunities In Europe? By David Kotok - Mar 14, 2013

The euro zone is expected to remain in recession, recovering slowly in the second half of this year. The European Central Bank (ECB) recently revised downward its GDP forecast for the year to -0.5%....

North Korea And Event-Driven Markets By David Kotok - Mar 13, 2013 1

World events are getting more complicated. U.S. markets are ignoring these issues as central bank zero-interest-rate policies continue to drive asset prices higher.When things are event-driven, an...

Japan Is On A Tear By David Kotok - Mar 12, 2013

After two decades of financial repression and deflationary suffering, a new government has changed policy in a fierce way. Japan now seeks inflation. It will get it. It seeks higher asset prices. It...

Monetary Policy: Still Bullish By David Kotok - Mar 06, 2013

For months we have stated that monetary policy around the world is a powerful engine for raising asset prices. We continue to argue that classic and typical valuation methods have to be set aside in...

Currencies, The G7, G20, And Japan By Cumberland Advisors - Feb 15, 2013

Tuesday the G7, which comprises the leading developed economies, sought to calm talk of a "currency war" by issuing a public statement. Unfortunately, as the day progressed, a "clarification" by an...

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