Market Overview

Contraction in US manufacturing emboldens bets for Fed cutsDollar slides, stock markets rally with boost from energy sharesRBA hits ‘stop’ button on rates, RBNZ decision coming up next...

The expected long-run return for the Global Market Index (GMI) held steady at 6.0% annualized in March, unchanged from last month and close to its trailing performance over the past decade. The...

(Monday Market Open) A volatile quarter ended Friday with the “risk-on” dial at 10 as stocks rocketed to six-week highs. Then OPEC shattered the weekend quiet with a surprise production...

The S&P 500 Futures futures monthly candlestick was an Emini bull reversal bar closing near its high, reversing up from a double bottom bull flag (Dec 22 and Mar 13). Monday is the first...

Asset classes made a comeback in March, led by inflation-indexed government bonds ex-US, based on a set of ETF proxies. The downside outlier: real estate shares in the US and around the world.The...

News of OPEC+ unexpected output cuts saw May Crude Oil WTI Futures gap sharply higher and helped lift bond yields. May WTI settled near three-week highs before the weekend near $75.65 and opened today...

It’s been almost three weeks since Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) blew up. With both NY Signature Bank and Credit Suisse (CS) following right behind it.I recently touched on SVB and the chronic...

It has been an eventful first quarter of the year. When we started 2023, expectations were for a recession in fairly short order, for markets to continue to tank, and for the news to remain bad....

Learn 4 essential tips that can make the difference between profits and losses

What fascinates me right now is the injection of liquidity by the Fed, which of course, is not being called by its rightful name: Quantitative Easing.That leads me to think, what else can we buy now...

As the Fed tightens monetary policy, a banking crisis is historically the first evidence that something was breaking. As noted recently in “Not QE,” “Last week, amid a rash of bank...

There are no prizes for guessing what the highlight next week will be. The US jobs report is widely regarded as being the most important economic report each month, although inflation probably...

After the US regional banking crisis and the forced takeover of Credit Suisse sent shockwaves through global markets, concerns over the risk of contagion rippled across the financial sector. Fears may...

Yesterday’s post reviewed the mixed signals for US recession risk based on CapitalSpectator.com’s proprietary business-cycle indexes. Today’s follow-up will take a deeper look...