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A 25bps interest rate hike is 90% priced in, with another 25bps hike in June currently seen as 30% likely. Assuming the Fed delivers the expected 25bps rate hike, the focus will quickly turn to the...
Investing is easy. Long term equity market is bullish. That’s a fact. So just buy it.Yet, people keep on trying to time the market, and -even worse- short it. OK let me be clear: I’m...
(Monday market open) Investors have their pick of news this week, with Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) reporting on Thursday just a day after another interest rate decision by the Federal Open Market Committee...
Lately, the Euro has been trading in a tight range especially against the United States dollar despite some tryouts of a break to the upside. The 14-Day average true range, which measures the average...
S&P 500 Futures's April candlestick consecutive bull bars close above the 20-month exponential moving average (EMA). Monday is the first trading day of the month. The market may gap up at the...
Most of the major asset classes continued to rebound in April, led by property shares ex-US, based on a set of ETF proxies. The downside outliers: foreign government bonds in developed markets, stocks...
The US money-supply data for March-2023, which were published on Tuesday of this week, reveal that the monetary inflation rate has continued its ‘swan dive.’ As illustrated below, the...
This week will be extremely busy as we have an FOMC decision, the nonfarm payroll report, peak earnings season, all while Wall Street keeps an eye on the banking industry to see if any news stresses...
First Quarter GDP increased at only a 1.1% seasonally adjusted annual rate. That was down from 2.6% in Q4 of last year, which was down from 3.2% during Q3. Despite the clear slowdown in economic...
May is expected to be another volatile month on Wall Street. Investor focus will be on the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, the monthly jobs report, inflation data, more earnings, and the U.S....
Recently, US House Speaker McCarthy tweeted this: And although it sounds like common sense, it’s dead wrong. The government doesn’t need money to spend money. The government creates money...
Friday market open: Investors began the week with their umbrellas out, ready for a cloudburst as mega-cap tech companies reported. Yet earnings from big tech brought mostly sunny skies—at least...
The US economy expanded at a much slower rate than expected in the first quarter, a prelude to recession, according to some forecasters. It would be naïve to rule out the possibility in the...
BoJ tweaks guidance but long review dampens bets of near-term policy overhaulYen tumbles, adding to dollar’s upside after core PCE deflator accelerates in Q1Strong earnings lift Wall Street...
What to expect in terms of market performance in May? The recent expansion of the monetary base following the pandemic has generated enormous liquidity in the US banking system. When banks...