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United States 10-Year Bond Yield

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4.529 +0.005    +0.22%
20/12 - Closed.
Type:  Bond
Group:  Government
Market:  United States
  • Prev. Close: 4.524
  • Day's Range: 4.484 - 4.566
U.S. 10Y 4.529 +0.005 +0.22%

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United States 10-Year Discussions

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Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny 20 hours ago
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Banks need to hold it there for a few days ... not start a sell off. 4.5 is the rate Powell set ... charts look like yield fixing.
Gilles Jab
Gilles Jab 20 hours ago
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Can we see 4.65-4.75?
Gamer Turtle
GamerTurtle 19 hours ago
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My thought is in the same ballpark as well.
Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny 13 hours ago
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Agree. A bit on the high side until pork is removed from government & government does not need to add to the debt ceiling. Even the disaster relief was not necessary as there are leftover covid funds.
Gamer Turtle
GamerTurtle 22 hours ago
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holding up very well, kinda unexpected due to data, but very expected due to market behavior. bond selloff has been persistent lately, and appear to be holding same pattern today.
Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny 23 hours ago
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They better do this very slowly so we don't attract sellers. Sr's must really have indigestion.
Teena Marie
Teena Marie Dec 20, 2024 8:12AM ET
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I was surprised when Trump said out loud that middle men, contemporarily called distributors, are squeezing producers and manufacturers. It affects the price of everything and can extend into bankruptcies that are not the result of deflated demand. Obviously, a looming partial government is impacting. There are also other factors at play and generally speaking, yields move higher going into auction and move lower from there. Insofar, retracted yields have been mostly range bound since 2023 with intervening high and low points. There is however a difference in event driven set backs to GDP versus the systemic in underlying causes that rate adjustments cannot fix and in some instances can make matters worse. As things stand now, the fed has to reconcile sticky inflation and that employment is within a range that continues to support goods and services though this may incur shuffling expenses. In a multi-tiered economy, this can look like cancelling plans for spending Thanksgiving in Paris, travel since the Covid 19 has broken all prior records; for others, it’s going to the local food bank to keep up with car loan payments. There isn’t a singular blunt approach that can fix everything.
Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny 23 hours ago
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Told you so!
Teena Marie
Teena Marie 22 hours ago
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You haven't told me anything worth remembering.
Teena Marie
Teena Marie 22 hours ago
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There is data that provokes knee jerk reactions and internal trends. Lofty analysis that concerns the economy is interesting and there's a context for both. My new rule is avoiding comments when I'm in the middle of a trade. I'd like to clear the deck on this. I won't flip out if you reply to me directly if you think there is something profoundly wrong with something I've said. Making a public service announcement out of isn't necessary.
Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny Dec 19, 2024 3:10PM ET
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Hypothesis: Banks have to capitulate higher yielding treasuries for lower yielding treasuries without a bonds loss... they are looking for people selling the bottom.
Teena Marie
Teena Marie 22 hours ago
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Two local banks I follow closely for CD rates took an interesting approach. They didn't raise cd and money market rates when the other banks were. They waited until their competitors cut and ran from 4 and 5 yields.
Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny Dec 19, 2024 3:02PM ET
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Over speculation in both asset classes.
Teena Marie
Teena Marie Dec 19, 2024 2:20PM ET
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Maria Kenny, I was not wrong when I said at the end of 2022 that rate hikes were priced in for 2023. I was not wrong when I said buy BAC during the SVB crash. I was not wrong when I said ISP would generate in house discounts for low income households at the end of the ACP program. I do not believe that I am wrong that listing prices fall when rates go up.
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Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny Dec 19, 2024 2:20PM ET
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Your comment earlier were economic data without underlying data. Unemployment is far worse than you can imagine because it is Federally subsidized temporary jobs to retrain people in other professions. It all ends tomorrow.
Teena Marie
Teena Marie Dec 19, 2024 2:20PM ET
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The other part of my reply didn't post. Just as well because it would have sounded mean. I do however find you are intelligent and excessively needy. You've demonstrated numerous times that you cannot tolerate opinions other than your own including when it turns out you were wrong. Now you're resorting to insults. Whether you're aware of this not, I was nice to you when insulting things were said to and about you in another chat. Didn't know then that you're a mean little brat.
Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny Dec 19, 2024 2:20PM ET
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you were quoting other numbers and you need to get the data, even Forest Gump could read!
Teena Marie
Teena Marie Dec 19, 2024 2:20PM ET
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I get it that you're a very intelligent person and excessively needy. I wish you the best of the luck and that you think before back handed remarks.
Teena Marie
Teena Marie Dec 19, 2024 2:20PM ET
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Whatever your real problem with me, I was nice to you when you were an unknowing joke another chat. I was trying buffer mean things said to and about you.
Gilles Jab
Gilles Jab Dec 19, 2024 1:58PM ET
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Do we see 4.75+ by EOY?
William Plotts
William Plotts Dec 19, 2024 1:29PM ET
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These markets are rattled people?
Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny Dec 19, 2024 1:29PM ET
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Last time Trump shut down Govt. in December 2018 we crashed for a month.
Maria Kenny
Maria Kenny Dec 19, 2024 1:29PM ET
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there was also some tariffs back & forth w China that drove corn wheat and soy to Brazil feeding China.
Frank Trade
Frank Trade Dec 19, 2024 12:37PM ET
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When this will fly above 5.0, all these so-called "experts" from hedge funds/banks that are guests daily on Bloomberg etc. will go hiding. Those are the same "experts" that were HIGHLY suggesting investors to buy bonds to secure high yields just before the Fed started cutting in 2024. Thank God these "experts" are almost always wrong...
 
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