Investing.com - Financial Markets Worldwide

United States 10-Year Bond Yield

NYSE
Currency in USD
4.542
+0.022(+0.44%)
Closed

United States 10-Year Discussions

It won't go much higher than today once people realize there is very little growth left.
Oil prices are flat year over year soon. Not really inflation ... just not free like a year ago ... actually it is a healthy up turn for energy to see better pricing.
I wonder about china. tariffs will styme oil and russia has a 60 dollar cap. It might flux based on prices from saudi and inflation elsewhere.
The daily candle looks like it's a bounce and a support off the 50MA on Daily. If technical plays out on larger tf, then be prepared for a pump toward 5%.
it will continue down unless Trump levies tariffs. He might say something this weekend but won't be effective until Mar. 1.
If it does go up it won't be long. Above here is a term premium banks got a discount on long dated treasuries of 20%.
Per bankers expect a wild ride in bonds this year. Some PCE related and arbitrary or capricious tariffs.
One of the things I watch as an investor is the issue of retail notes from the banks. This month we have seen a larger than normal number of bank issuances and the maturities extended significantly. So if banks are flooding the market with longer term bonds, that says to me banks are trying to lock in rates here and fear higher rates going forward.
Buyable spikeay take until next Monday; but peaks prior were term Premium per Powell. Still spread out bonds along various durations as we still have no debt ceiling move & Republicans think we nee tax breaks during full employment & healthy consumer spending. 2, 5, 7-10, ultra shorts like fltr & usfr ... ultrashorts may misbehave if volatility get triggered. XTWO is safest.
PMI's past two releases indicated rapidly rising prices. But commodities have moved in a better direction the past week. Probably commodities overpriced impact of tariffs or they are waiting for tariff announcements before going up vs down.
Trump trade people went straight for commodities; elevating prices for Dec & Jan PCE; Any spike on this yield is buyable because we have xs gas & distilates; low on LNG but ez to catch up during summer driving. LNG was so full, it is good to see storage space available for buildup into Fall 2025.
So, what is going on? Are we seeing Trump influence vs so called sticky inflation? Low rates are important to him.
sticky inflation from Trump trade into commodities in Oct to Dec. We have 2 months to lap .. Dec & Jan lagging reports. PCE December in AM.
Today’s economic data reports lower job claims, Q4 reports: higher PCE and Core PCE, lower GDP and GDP Sales, GDP Price Index and consumer spending are significantly higher.
Accumulation at bottom of channel. PCE will determine direction 1/31.
Most data indicate elevated PCE 1/31. Won't be surprised if recersal.
it Dec numbers
Suaplow McDoubleXD January will be elevated also because energy just started retreat in the last week.
what a move, mad casino like. data says down, it kept on moving higher. then around 9:50AM EST, all suddenly moving lower. Now 10AM data comes, is it gonna flip back up despite data says down.
lmao! what do we have here, same reversal price action to the 8:30 data. lol.
All paper world wide is created from thin air and backed by taxation . End the welfare system. Need taxes, go brrrrr...
site is mad glitchy today, or it's just me. anyway, tried to post all morning. tired of retyping, short version is short term technical showing potential test of 4.55-4.56
The Fed is behind on inflation but the one thing you can count on is that Powell is not going to admit he made a mistake by lowering the Fed Funds rate, which means by the time he reacts they will be way behind again just like 2021. imo
I didn't even listen to Powell. I doubt he will need to raise but when he lowers rates it only impacts the shortest duration bonds at this point. The situation is mostly onto the market.
Buying Time 40 years cycle is on the way. Just going up. I only buy CDC, Cryptos and Gold. Regards.
Going by the daily chart, looks like a little more retreat before moving higher again. Auction day Thursday and Monday and Thursday again next week.
Keep record high imports in mind for 2025.
You'll see it in inventory reports. It's for preparedness.
ECB is expected to cut again.
Raise rates to 15-17% now!!! Egg prices are $11.99!!!!
I have a long term trend line that seems to have relatively strong impact if it's still used.
It could bounce here or 4.44. Maybe its looking for 4.34 but I doubt that.
5.25
XHB, XLU sold off today. This will be higher after FOMC otherwise XHB would have moved higher on yield retreat. Banks are just selling off capitulated bonds until High PCE Jan 31.
HPI elevated PCE upside risk Friday; my have better opportunity Friday 1/31. PCE high could trigger bond sell-off again.
1H/4H showing trend would take it to 4.60% at minimum. wait for it, if you're trading bearish yield.
$36.5 trillion... WHO do we owe it to?
That’s the treasury holdings by entire world, and US pays interest on them
Pays interest to WHO?
WHO are we borrowing from that we have to pay interest?
...
Install Our App
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.