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US STOCKS-Wall Street set to fall as oil slides; data eyed

Published 06/12/2009, 08:20 AM
Updated 06/12/2009, 08:32 AM
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* Crude oil futures fall nearly 2 percent

* Consumer confidence data on tap

* Futures off: S&P 500 2.9 pts, Dow 15, Nasdaq 1.75 (Updates prices, adds stocks, byline)

By Edward Krudy

NEW YORK, June 12 (Reuters) - Wall Street was set to open lower on Friday as commodity prices eased and investors looked ahead to key consumer confidence data for insight into prospects for the recession easing.

U.S. crude oil futures fell nearly 2 percent, helped by a stronger U.S. dollar, after a three-day rally lifted the price over $72 per barrel. Gold prices edged lower in Europe.

Shares in natural resource companies headed lower, with Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc down 1.4 percent to $59.67 before the bell, and Exxon Mobil Corp down 1 percent to $73.40.

A rally this week in commodity prices helped underpin stock prices, but some investors say much higher prices could hurt an economic recovery by increasing costs to consumers and businesses.

"Commodity prices coming off here will certainly impact the market as it's been commodity prices that have basically helped pushed the market towards these new 12-month highs," said Paul Mendelsohn, chief investment strategist at Windham Financial Services in Charlotte, Vermont. "So weakness there would be a potential problem."

S&P 500 futures fell 2.90 points and were below fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 15 points, while Nasdaq 100 futures were off 1.75 points.

U.S. Treasuries rose Friday, extending the previous session's gains after a solid auction of 30-year bonds on Thursday soothed worries about demand for massive government debt.

The prospect of rising interest rates has worried stocks investors concerned about the effect of increased borrowing costs on an economic recovery. Yields on the 10-year treasury note briefly passed 4 percent earlier in the week but by Friday yields had fallen back towards 3.8 percent.

The Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment, due at 9:55 a.m. EDT, will be closely watched as consumers account for two-thirds of economic activity.

June's reading is forecast to rise to 69.5 from 68.7 in May, a Reuters poll showed, indicating growing consumer confidence.

In one bright economic spot, Chinese factory output surged in May and improved Japanese output in April fueled hopes on Friday that Asia can lead a global recovery, though a record drop in euro zone industrial production showed much of Europe lagging.

In a further sign the battered financial system is returning to health, BlackRock Inc agreed to buy Barclays Global Investors to create the world's biggest asset manager in a $13.5 billion deal that British bank Barclays Plc hoped will ease concerns about its capital. BlackRock's shares rose 1.9 percent to $186 before the bell.

Chip designer Rambus Inc agreed to cut royalties to settle charges brought by the European Commission, according to Friday's edition of the European Union Official Journal. Its shares rose 8 percent to $16.30 before the bell.

U.S. stocks racked up gains across a wide array of sectors on Thursday, aided by rising commodity prices and jobless data that showed improving labor market conditions.

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