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Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC

Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC, including current material.
Eurodollar Decay; Specifically What’s Missing By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Feb 15, 2017

Economists have always fashioned themselves in the style of physicists. They endlessly scrawl incomprehensible equations on blackboards because it is the epitome of science, the allure of great...

Eurodollar Decay, What’s Missing? By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Feb 15, 2017

Earlier this week Bloomberg published an absurd story trying to claim that Donald Trump is being warned by foreign holders of U.S. debt. Warned about what, the article didn’t say, so we can...

The First Real Reality Check? By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Feb 09, 2017

With several parts of the “reflation” trade rolling over, it is worth noting that one of the last of them to join in what may be growing reconsideration or doubt is inflation breakevens....

Raising The Stakes, But Not The Level Of Understanding By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Feb 08, 2017

China’s Foreign Exchange Agency reported a $12 billion drawdown in that country’s foreign “reserves” holdings during January 2017. That was considerably less than the past...

Solutions Require Good Data By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Feb 08, 2017

There were no surprises in the updated JOLTS estimates for December 2016, just more of the same sideways. The level of Job Openings was 5.501 million (SA), practically unchanged from November’s...

A Yield Curve Is Or Isn’t, There Is No Halfway By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Feb 07, 2017

As noted earlier, the Bank of Japan has a whole host of problems over its QQE with YCC attachments. Japan’s central bank has belatedly discovered Finance 101, where being one-dimensional...

Was There A Fed Meeting? By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Feb 02, 2017

In the aftermath of the “rate hike” in December, there was a rush to quantify, as far as expectations of political considerations may be attainable in such format, just how much the Fed...

Cracking Energy ‘Reflation’ By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Feb 02, 2017

Most of the trade publications in the energy industry continue to talk about “strong demand” for energy products, including gasoline. They, in fact, never actually stopped using the...

Economic Hope As Inventory By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jan 29, 2017

Inventories in the fourth quarter rebounded rather sharply, at least in terms of how inventory is calculated as a contribution to GDP. The GDP version of inventory turned negative in Q2, and was only...

GDP Under The ‘Rising Dollar’ Was The Last Straw By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jan 29, 2017

Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter of 2016 disappointed once again, which is to say that it was perfectly consistent. At just 1.856%, quarter-over-quarter, it was the fifth time out of the...

The Order Of Operation By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jan 26, 2017

In 1998, Time Magazine asked Paul Krugman to write up a futuristic piece for the publication’s 100th anniversary issue. Time, pardon the pun, has not been kind to a lot of what he said, but in...

The Inconvenience Of Oil By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jan 26, 2017

For the first time in three years, oil inventories in the United States are not rising precipitously more than the seasonally expected. At the start of both 2015 and 2016, oil stocks exploded higher...

Politics Vs Economics: Why 'Stimulus' Doesn't Help By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jan 26, 2017

The only unequivocally positive aspect to the looming “stimulus” debate is the immense political theater it will generate, and has already generated. Hypocrisy will be standard fare, and...

Even The Adoption Of Innovation Is Different By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jan 24, 2017

As with all innovation, the roots of any specific trend usually cast back a very long time. In terms of Enterprise computing solutions, Software as a Service (SaaS) dates to the earliest days of the...

Dawn Of Trump, A Plea For Sanity By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jan 24, 2017

Jose Manuel Barroso was the former Prime Minister of Portugal who became the 11th President of the European Commission. Never one to be shy about sharing his opinions, in June 2012 at the G20 summit...

Now What? Lots of ‘Stimulus’, And Still No Results By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jan 22, 2017

Nowhere is the “dollar’s” effects more damaging than in any real economy dependent upon it. It is quite fitting that on a day when the PBOC surprises with a desperate move to reduce...

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