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On Sunday, we reduced the odds of our Roaring 2020s base-case scenario from 65% to 55% and raised the odds of a stagflationary scenario from 35% to 45%. The latter includes the possibility of a...
The Granny Indicator has been reliable. In late January, early February, while everyone was still so bullish, Granny XRT failed the high if the January 6-month calendar range and then the 50-daily...
This week’s chart was featured in the latest Weekly ChartStorm, but I felt it worth sharing over here as well and probing further into the core issue in markets right now (at the bigger picture...
It was strange, with stocks gapping lower and grinding higher all day. It was hard to say precisely what the driver was, but by day’s end, I can take an educated guess and run down what I think may...
Representing top tech stocks, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index is down 8% since the beginning of the year, trending even lower to September 2024 level. The main culprit is the uncertainty surrounding...
’There are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades happen’’ – Vladimir Lenin. Markets were sleepwalking into April 2nd before we had a decent sell-off in US stock markets...
In the world of upstart pharmaceuticals and healthcare companies, timing is everything. These firms often struggle for an extended period of time before becoming profitable, but when they see success...
When it comes to connecting the dots across the financial markets, investors need to remember that price action in one area typically connects to the rest of the broader machine, where watching...
Measuring shifts in uncertainty is a slippery beast, but it’s easier to intuit when big changes unfold vs. the recent past. We’re knee-deep in one of those moments. One of the tell-tale signs is that...
In our Thursday article, we talked about a “quiet shift” in the markets from growth stocks to value—and we named 2 CEFs yielding 9%+ that are primed to profit from it. Yes, the recent jump in...
Once a sleepy corner of the stock market, the S&P 500 Utilities sector is now a hotbed of debate. Fans believe that growth in data centers, cryptocurrencies, electric vehicles (EVs), the...
The Emini S&P 500 formed a weak Emini pullback, forming an outside bear bar closing near its low. The bears want a retest and breakout below the March 13 low. The bulls want the September or...
You’d never know it looking at the sentiment data, but the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is down just -4.91% YTD. This weekly chart of the S&P 500 from Worden shows a potential downside to the S&P...
Recently, I was asked on CNBC Asia what I thought about fixed income at the present time. My answer was that I thought having cash allocated to some is wise and that we were doing that as...
This year has seen a dramatic shift in markets with U.S. equity leadership giving way to a resurgence in overseas shares. “The bubble in American exceptionalism has been building for years. The...