Market Overview

Last week ended on a very positive note for the US equity markets. All major indices rallied, the S&P 500 notched its best week in more than a year and topped the 6000 level for the first time in...

This weekend, we will examine some of the long-term market cycles across various assets to help set the stage for the coming months as we begin to look toward 2025. All charts below come from...

Most traders wait for a pullback to enter. I don’t. Instead, I focus on timing my entries in specific trading windows for the Asia and New York sessions. Why? Because I want momentum on my side.  In...

What if the inflation problem has not actually been effectively addressed? It could have important implications for not only monetary but fiscal policy in the near future. This may be one reason...

It’s difficult to count the number of mainstream macro theories that we’ve debunked over the past few years. Many long-used relationships and correlations have been upended by record monetary and...

The prospect of a Trump presidency has led to much debate and speculation about how markets might react. Depending on what policies are eventually passed, there are potential risks and opportunities...

After Trump comeback, normality to return to markets with US CPI. GDP data from UK and Japan to also be important. But volatility to likely persist as markets assess impact of Trump 2.0. US CPI...

Donald Trump won the election by a clearer and wider margin than what was expected, and the Republicans gained control of the Senate. In the short-term, we believe this outcome is likely to be...

The latest UK government budget, which saw big tax rises but even bigger spending increases projected for 2025-26, has forced markets to rethink Bank of England expectations. Rates are expected to...

The Fed cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25bps yesterday as widely expected. We expected it as well, though we still believe that the now 75bps cut in the FFR since September 18 is too much, too...

The Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered the second rate cut of the year yesterday. Chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed doesn’t rule ‘out or in’ a rate cut in December, that the US economy is expanding...

Gold and USD Index Under Trump’s Presidency And no, I don’t mean Trump’s presidency, but that’s true as well. I mean the rally in the USD Index and the declines in the precious metals and mining...

When Trump won re-election, the market reactions were immediate and intense: Stocks surged The classic "safe haven" gold sold off And the US dollar strengthened This video breaks down what these...

Traders are positioning for further China stimulus with buying in stocks, commodities, and yuan Stimulus announcement expected Friday, with estimates ranging from 2 to 10 trillion yuan Key levels to...