Market Overview

We are exercising caution as the growth stocks and S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) are in warning phases, well below their July calendar ranges, and with momentum showing some mean reversion but not enough...

Gold is the world’s greatest money. All the other financial markets are best viewed as simple tools that can be used to get more gold. Currently, some tools are functioning better than others. A...

Early assessments of third-quarter economic activity for the US point to a slowdown vs. Q2, based on the median nowcast for estimates compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. The downshift is prominent, but...

By our reckoning, during the first half of 2022 the US economy entered the bust phase of the economic boom-bust cycle caused by monetary inflation (rapid monetary inflation causes a boom that...

Stocks edge higher as gold benefits from geopolitical risks Pound rallies despite shock claimant count change French political issues return to the foreground RBNZ meeting could lead to significant...

Gold Rises Towards Record Highs on Intensifying Geopolitical Unrest Gold (XAU/USD) climbed towards $2,475 on Monday, close to record highs, as heightened geopolitical tensions bolstered its...

Last Monday, global equities and digital assets underwent a dramatic selloff as the unwinding of the Japanese yen carry trade rattled markets. The S&P Global Broad Market Index (BMI), which...

Investors panicked after NFP report But incoming data eased fears and rate-cut bets Still, market pricing remains overly dovish Focus turns to US CPI on Wednesday and retail sales on Thursday, at...

Improved market sentiment, Nasdaq 100 records weekly increase Yen holds recent strong gains as euro/dollar trades sideways today Rich data calendar this week, US CPI to dictate Fedspeak Gold and oil...

Gold Holds Steady Ahead of US Inflation Data Gold (XAU) traded in a narrow range on Friday. Positive risk sentiment limited its gains, while ongoing geopolitical risks and expectations of rate cuts...

Last week, the stock markets’ adverse reaction to Friday’s jobs report was to price in a hard landing and to expect a series of federal funds rate (FFR) cuts by the Fed, including a 50-basis-point...

To no one’s surprise, volatility has returned in a big way, and if the typical market playbooks of the past 30 years continue to work, then what we have seen regarding the yen carry trade to this...

The global economy is toast. All that's left is the distribution of the burned bits. The six one-offs that drove growth and pulled the global economy out of bubble-bust recessions for the past 30...

Ask economists how they forecast economic activity. It’s likely they will mention productivity, demographics, debt, the Fed, interest rates, and a litany of other elements. Economic confidence is...