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Tim Knight
Fed Spread Is Extreme By Tim Knight - Jun 09, 2023

Thursday afternoon means one thing, and that’s the Fed Spread. I am probably going to resume putting these posts behind the pay wall next week, since this chart is about to get extremely...

Naeem Aslam
Stocks Seek New Catalyst, Bitcoin Continues to Slide By Naeem Aslam - Jun 08, 2023 2

The US and European stock futures are trading a bit flat while traders focus on the next big catalyst that will drive the price action. The past few weeks have been about the US debt, and the drama...

Michael Ashton
CPI Swaps Improving? Not as Significant as You Think By Michael Ashton - Jun 07, 2023 2

Today we are going to geek out on inflation derivatives a little more. Since early 2022, just after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, 10y US CPI swaps have fallen from about 3.15% to around 2.50% (see...

Alfonso Peccatiello
Macro Investors Must Prepare for Upcoming Disinflation By Alfonso Peccatiello - Jun 06, 2023 3

The pace of the upcoming disinflationary impulse is likely to surprise many: most of our TMC models and leading indicators confirm our call for US core CPI to be in the 3% area by December, and to...

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