Market Overview

The Fed’s “soft landing” hopes are likely overly optimistic. Such was the context of our recent report, which discussed the long record of the Fed’s economic growth...

On Thursday, the South African rand (ZAR) was the best-performing currency among the 20 global currencies we track, while the Turkish lira (TRY) showed the weakest results. The Australian dollar was...

Greenback to take a breather after 8-weeks long rally; direction remains bullish Similarly, oil could retest $90 Fed actions, bond market shifts, and speculative positions to tell the market direction...

Stocks closed higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 rising by around 60 bps. Bond yields also stabilized, with the 10-year falling by three bps to close about 4.57%.The day saw a lot of volatility in...

On Wednesday, the Turkish lira (TRY) was the best-performing currency among the 20 global currencies we track, while the Brazilian real (BRL) showed the weakest results. The US dollar was the leader...

Dollar extends gains on ‘higher for longer’ narrativeDollar/yen nears 150 zone, risk of intervention risesOil skyrockets as US inventories tumbleWall street closes mixed despite rally in...

SPX Monitoring purposes; Short SPX on 9/1/23 at 4515.77; cover short 9/5/23 at 4496.83 = gain .43%.Gain since 12/20/22=15.93%. Monitoring purposes GOLD: Long GDX (NYSE:GDX) on 10/9/20 at 40.78. The...

One thing I’ve stopped worrying very much about is a government shutdown. It could even be a good thing, given the bloated deficit, except for the fact that the government basically keeps...

Earlier this month I wrote that there was still room for debating if a broad-based risk-off signal was brewing. Three weeks later, the space is narrowing for keeping an open mind, based on several...

Current selloff in stocks is absolutely normal and expected Despite the declines and investors' overreactions to it, we are still in the green for the year Short-term pain is a key part of the journey...

On Tuesday, the US dollar was the best-performing currency among the 20 global currencies we track, while the Russian rouble (RUB) showed the weakest results. The Chinese yuan was the leader among...

We recently wrote about why it takes time for higher interest rates to inflict economic damage. We follow that up with a discussion of something equally worrying that also lags Fed rate...

Dollar at 10-month highs, 10-yr yield jumps to new 16-year peakDollar/yen extends uptrend, intervention risks growWall Street tumbles on a blend of investor concernsDollar stands tall ahead of core...

Stocks finished yesterday lower by around 1.5% on the S&P 500, while the Nasdaq 100 QQQ declined by about 1.5%. Meanwhile, rates continued to climb, with the 30-year climbing to about 4.69%, as...